Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 43.57%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 32.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.13%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 1-2 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arbroath | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
| 43.57% ( | 24.1% ( | 32.32% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.91% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.58% ( | 42.41% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.18% ( | 64.82% ( |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.32% ( | 19.67% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.34% ( | 51.66% ( |
| Kelty Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.58% ( | 25.42% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.76% ( | 60.23% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Arbroath | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
| 2-1 @ 9.05% ( 1-0 @ 8.13% ( 2-0 @ 6.61% ( 3-1 @ 4.91% ( 3-0 @ 3.58% ( 3-2 @ 3.36% ( 4-1 @ 2% ( 4-0 @ 1.46% ( 4-2 @ 1.37% ( Other @ 3.11% Total : 43.57% | 1-1 @ 11.13% ( 2-2 @ 6.2% ( 0-0 @ 5% ( 3-3 @ 1.53% ( Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.1% | 1-2 @ 7.63% ( 0-1 @ 6.85% ( 0-2 @ 4.69% ( 1-3 @ 3.48% ( 2-3 @ 2.83% ( 0-3 @ 2.14% ( 1-4 @ 1.19% ( 2-4 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 2.54% Total : 32.32% |