Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win with a probability of 48.15%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 28.53% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.15%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 1-2 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic	Draw	Arbroath
48.15% ( -0.28)	23.31% ( 0.02)	28.53% ( 0.26)

Both teams to score 60.51% (

0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.32% (

0.07)

40.67% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.94% (

0.07)

63.05% (

-0.07)

Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.87% (

-0.08)

17.13% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.65% (

-0.14)

47.35% (

0.14)

Arbroath Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.01% (

0.21)

26.98% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.67% (

0.27)

62.33% (

-0.27)

Score Analysis

Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 48.15%

Arbroath 28.53%

Draw 23.31%

Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic	Draw	Arbroath
2-1 @ 9.42% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.15% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 7.19% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 5.54% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.23% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.63% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.45% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.87% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.6% ( -0) Other @ 4.06% Total : 48.15%	1-1 @ 10.68% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.17% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.62% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.31%	1-2 @ 7% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 6.05% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.97% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.06% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.04% Total : 28.53%