Scottish League One | Gameweek 5

Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK

The C&G Systems Stadium

Dumbarton
2 - 2
Kelty Hearts

Durnan (43', 89')
Miller (66'), Gray (68')

FT(HT: 1-1)

McCarvel (10'), Johnston (59')

Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Dumbarton and Kelty Hearts.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dumbarton

All competitions

Scottish League One

Last Game: Dumbarton 2-2 Arbroath
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Goals
for

Kelty Hearts

All competitions

Scottish League One

Last Game: Kelty Hearts 0-0 Inverness
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 57.59%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 21.74% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.81%) and 1-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 1-2 (5.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
Dumbarton	Draw	Kelty Hearts
57.59% ( 0)	20.66% ( -0)	21.74% ( 0)

Both teams to score 62.54% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.28% (

0.02)

34.71% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.33% (

0.02)

56.67% (

-0.02)

Dumbarton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.02% (

0.01)

11.98% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.6% (

0.02)

37.39% (

-0.02)

Kelty Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.05% (

0.01)

28.95% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.17% (

0.02)

64.83% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Dumbarton 57.59%

Kelty Hearts 21.74%

Draw 20.66%

Dumbarton	Draw	Kelty Hearts
2-1 @ 9.68% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.81% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.36% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.85% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.52% ( -0) 3-2 @ 4.24% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.63% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.93% 4-2 @ 2.25% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.54% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.24% ( 0) 5-2 @ 0.96% ( 0) 4-3 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 2.65% Total : 57.59%	1-1 @ 9.12% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.47% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.75% ( 0) Other @ 0.32% Total : 20.66%	1-2 @ 5.65% 0-1 @ 4.3% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.66% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.48% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.34% 0-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 3.21% Total : 21.74%