Dumbarton
Scottish Challenge Cup | Second Round
Aug 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The C&G Systems Stadium
Berwick Rangers

Dumbarton
4 - 0
Berwick

McGuffie (7', 31'), Ruth (23'), Wilson (37')
FT(HT: 4-0)
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Second Round clash between Dumbarton and Berwick.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dumbarton

All competitions
Last Game: Dumbarton 3-3 Alloa
Saturday, August 10 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Berwick

All competitions
Last Game: Berwick 2-3 St Mirren U21s
Tuesday, July 30 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
TeamGoals scoredAvg per gameTop scorer
1Elgin52.50Dingwall
2East Fife42.00McManus
3Spartans42.00Henderson
4Peterhead31.50Armour
5Stirling21.00Carrick
6Stranraer21.00Dunlop
7Clyde10.50Grant
8Edinburgh10.50Young
9Forfar10.50Mylchreest
10Bonnyrigg Rose00.00

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 66.99%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Berwick had a probability of 15.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.83%) and 3-1 (7.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.86%), while for a Berwick win it was 1-2 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dumbarton would win this match.

Result
DumbartonDrawBerwick
66.99% (-1.887 -1.89)17.79% (0.488 0.49)15.21% (1.394 1.39)
Both teams to score 60.21% (2.03 2.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.03% (0.831 0.83)31.97% (-0.836 -0.84)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.47% (0.966 0.97)53.52% (-0.971 -0.97)
Dumbarton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.15% (-0.20099999999999 -0.2)8.84% (0.1959 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.71% (-0.48399999999999 -0.48)30.28% (0.478 0.48)
Berwick Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.05% (2.363 2.36)33.94% (-2.369 -2.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.38% (2.477 2.48)70.62% (-2.482 -2.48)
Score Analysis
    Dumbarton 66.99%
    Berwick 15.21%
    Draw 17.79%
DumbartonDrawBerwick
2-1 @ 9.54% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.83% (-0.578 -0.58)
3-1 @ 7.71% (-0.063999999999999 -0.06)
1-0 @ 7.28% (-0.405 -0.41)
3-0 @ 7.14% (-0.538 -0.54)
4-1 @ 4.68% (-0.082 -0.08)
4-0 @ 4.33% (-0.369 -0.37)
3-2 @ 4.17% (0.228 0.23)
4-2 @ 2.53% (0.116 0.12)
5-1 @ 2.27% (-0.062 -0.06)
5-0 @ 2.1% (-0.201 -0.2)
5-2 @ 1.23% (0.045 0.04)
6-1 @ 0.92% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-3 @ 0.91% (0.096 0.1)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 66.99%
1-1 @ 7.86% (0.081 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.15% (0.327 0.33)
0-0 @ 3% (-0.138 -0.14)
3-3 @ 1.5% (0.171 0.17)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 17.79%
1-2 @ 4.25% (0.306 0.31)
0-1 @ 3.24% (0.063 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.86% (0.226 0.23)
0-2 @ 1.75% (0.141 0.14)
1-3 @ 1.53% (0.199 0.2)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 15.21%