Scottish Challenge Cup
Jul 30, 2024 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 1 3
FT Shielfield Park
  • Cai McNamara 34' goal
  • Alfie Robinson 38' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Devers 50' goal
  • Liam Buchanan 51' yellowcard
  • Max McGinley 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Ethan Sutherland 4'
  • goal Evan Mooney 7'
  • goal Theo McCormick 12'
  • yellowcard Lyle Hunter 24'
  • yellowcard Ethan Sutherland 88'
  • yellowcard Josh Farquhar 90'+3'

Berwick vs St Mirren Under-21s - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Berwick

All competitions

St Mirren Under-21s

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Berwick win with a probability of 60.58%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for St Mirren Under-21s had a probability of 19.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Berwick win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.1%) and 1-0 (7.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.72%), while for a St Mirren Under-21s win it was 1-2 (5.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.

Result

Berwick 60.58% (+4.92)
Draw 19.81% (-0.53)
St Mirren Under-21s 19.61% (-4.38)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.17% (-4.80)

Goals

Over 2.5 66.32% (-3.36)
Under 2.5 33.68% (+3.37)
Over 3.5 44.5% (-3.93)
Under 3.5 55.5% (+3.94)
Over 4.5 25.87% (-3.45)
Under 4.5 74.13% (+3.45)

Berwick Goals

Over 0.5 89.14% (+0.25)
Under 0.5 10.86% (-0.24)
Over 1.5 65.04% (+0.54)
Under 1.5 34.96% (-0.53)

St Mirren Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5 69.74% (-5.59)
Under 0.5 30.27% (+5.59)
Over 1.5 33.56% (-7.23)
Under 1.5 66.44% (+7.24)

Score analysis

Berwick 60.58%
Draw 19.81%
St Mirren Under-21s 19.61%
Berwick
2-1 @ 9.68% (+0.43)
2-0 @ 8.1% (+1.49)
1-0 @ 7.3% (+1.28)
3-1 @ 7.17% (+0.38)
3-0 @ 6% (+1.15)
3-2 @ 4.28% (-0.47)
4-1 @ 3.98% (+0.25)
4-0 @ 3.33% (+0.67)
4-2 @ 2.38% (-0.24)
5-1 @ 1.77% (+0.13)
5-0 @ 1.48% (+0.31)
5-2 @ 1.06% (-0.10)
Other @ 4.08%
Total : 60.58%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.72% (+0.30)
2-2 @ 5.79% (-0.70)
0-0 @ 3.29% (+0.55)
3-3 @ 1.71% (-0.51)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 19.81%
St Mirren Under-21s
1-2 @ 5.21% (-0.69)
0-1 @ 3.93% (+0.10)
0-2 @ 2.35% (-0.34)
2-3 @ 2.31% (-0.72)
1-3 @ 2.08% (-0.68)
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 19.61%