Scottish Challenge Cup | First Round

Aug 1, 2023 at 7.30pm UK

The Smisa Stadium

St Mirren U21s
2 - 2
Albion Rovers

Turner (51'), Sutherland (90')
Foster (90+1')

FT
(aet)

Joseph (27'), Fagan (41')
Prince (50')
Prince (88')

Albion Rovers win 4-2 on penalties

Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup First Round clash between St Mirren Under-21s and Albion Rovers.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Mirren Under-21s

Last Game: St Mirren U21s 0-0 East Stirling (2-4 pen.)
Tuesday, August 9 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup

Albion Rovers

All competitions

Last Game: Albion Rovers 1-2 Kilmarnock
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup

	Team	Goals scored	Avg per game	Top scorer
1	Bonnyrigg Rose	0	nan
2	Clyde	0	nan
3	Dumbarton	0	nan
4	East Fife	0	nan
5	Elgin	0	nan
6	Forfar	0	nan
7	Peterhead	0	nan
8	Spartans	0	nan
9	Stenhousemuir	0	nan
10	Stranraer	0	nan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albion Rovers win with a probability of 53.72%. A win for St Mirren Under-21s had a probability of 23.5% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Albion Rovers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.27%) and 0-2 (8.55%). The likeliest St Mirren Under-21s win was 2-1 (6.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
St Mirren Under-21s	Draw	Albion Rovers
23.5% ( -0.12)	22.77% ( -0)	53.72% ( 0.13)

Both teams to score 57.42% (

-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.46% (

-0.12)

42.53% (

0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.06% (

-0.12)

64.94% (

0.13)

St Mirren Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.19% (

-0.17)

31.8% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.76% (

-0.2)

68.24% (

0.2)

Albion Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.19%

15.8% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.04% (

-0)

44.96% (

Score Analysis

St Mirren Under-21s 23.5%

Albion Rovers 53.72%

Draw 22.77%

St Mirren Under-21s	Draw	Albion Rovers
2-1 @ 6.09% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 5.76% ( 0) 2-0 @ 3.3% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.32% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.26% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.64% Total : 23.5%	1-1 @ 10.62% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.61% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.77%	1-2 @ 9.8% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 9.27% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 8.55% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 6.03% ( 0) 0-3 @ 5.26% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 3.45% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.78% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.43% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.59% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 3.54% Total : 53.72%