Scottish League One | Gameweek 1

Aug 3, 2024 at 3pm UK

Tulloch Caledonian Stadium

Inverness
1 - 1
Dumbarton

Devine (44')
Brooks (57'), (85'), Devine (85')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Pignatiello (59')
Hilton (26'), Niang (55')
Niang (79')

Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Inverness Caledonian Thistle and Dumbarton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Inverness Caledonian Thistle

All competitions

Last Game: Dundee 6-0 Inverness
Saturday, July 27 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup

Goals
for

Dumbarton

All competitions

Last Game: Aberdeen 6-0 Dumbarton
Saturday, July 27 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 59.96%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Dumbarton had a probability of 18.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for a Dumbarton win it was 0-1 (5.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.

Result
Inverness Caledonian Thistle	Draw	Dumbarton
59.96% ( 0.09)	21.56% ( 0.02)	18.48% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 53.78% (

-0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.31% (

-0.25)

43.68% (

0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.92% (

-0.25)

66.07% (

0.25)

Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.84% (

-0.06)

14.16% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.15% (

-0.11)

41.84% (

0.1)

Dumbarton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.65% (

-0.27)

37.34% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.87% (

-0.27)

74.13% (

0.27)

Score Analysis

Inverness Caledonian Thistle 59.95%

Dumbarton 18.48%

Draw 21.55%

Inverness Caledonian Thistle	Draw	Dumbarton
1-0 @ 10.33% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 10.1% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.95% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.58% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.48% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.22% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 3.17% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.26% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.24% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.87% Total : 59.95%	1-1 @ 10.18% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.29% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.55%	0-1 @ 5.21% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.44% Total : 18.48%