Scottish League One | Gameweek 4

Aug 24, 2024 at 3pm UK

The C&G Systems Stadium

Dumbarton
2 - 2
Arbroath

Ruth (74'), Shiels (79')
Niang (76')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Stewart (5'), Dow (50')
Steele (70'), Dow (85'), O'Brien (86')

Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Dumbarton and Arbroath.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dumbarton

All competitions

Scottish League One

Last Game: Cove Rangers 1-1 Dumbarton
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Goals
for

Arbroath

All competitions

Scottish League One

Last Game: Arbroath 0-3 Kelty Hearts
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 53.29%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 24.35% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.41%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 1-2 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Dumbarton	Draw	Arbroath
53.29% ( 1.37)	22.36% ( -0.24)	24.35% ( -1.12)

Both teams to score 59.87% (

-0.39)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.25% (

0.04)

39.75% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.9% (

0.04)

62.1% (

-0.04)

Dumbarton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.03% (

0.48)

14.97% (

-0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.6% (

0.9)

43.39% (

-0.89)

Arbroath Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.41% (

-0.86)

29.59% (

0.86)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.38% (

-1.06)

65.62% (

1.06)

Score Analysis

Dumbarton 53.29%

Arbroath 24.35%

Draw 22.35%

Dumbarton	Draw	Arbroath
2-1 @ 9.73% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 8.41% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 7.99% ( 0.25) 3-1 @ 6.16% ( 0.15) 3-0 @ 5.06% ( 0.24) 3-2 @ 3.75% 4-1 @ 2.92% ( 0.12) 4-0 @ 2.4% ( 0.15) 4-2 @ 1.78% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.11% ( 0.06) 5-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.08% Total : 53.29%	1-1 @ 10.24% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 4.43% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.35%	1-2 @ 6.24% ( -0.21) 0-1 @ 5.39% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 3.28% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.1) Other @ 3.16% Total : 24.35%