Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 43.2%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 30.44% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 1-0 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
| 30.44% ( | 26.35% ( | 43.2% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.55% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.07% ( | 52.92% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.47% ( | 74.53% ( |
| Kelty Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.11% | 31.89% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.66% ( | 68.33% ( |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.69% ( | 24.31% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.3% ( | 58.69% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
| 1-0 @ 8.86% ( 2-1 @ 7.16% ( 2-0 @ 5.06% ( 3-1 @ 2.73% 3-0 @ 1.93% 3-2 @ 1.93% Other @ 2.77% Total : 30.44% | 1-1 @ 12.53% 0-0 @ 7.75% ( 2-2 @ 5.06% 3-3 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.35% | 0-1 @ 10.96% 1-2 @ 8.86% ( 0-2 @ 7.75% 1-3 @ 4.18% ( 0-3 @ 3.66% ( 2-3 @ 2.39% ( 1-4 @ 1.48% ( 0-4 @ 1.29% ( Other @ 2.64% Total : 43.2% |