Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 40.46%. A win for Cove Rangers had a probability of 34.81% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest Cove Rangers win was 1-2 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Cove Rangers |
| 40.46% ( | 24.73% ( | 34.81% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.44% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.34% ( | 44.66% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.98% ( | 67.02% ( |
| Kelty Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.95% ( | 22.05% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.61% ( | 55.39% ( |
| Cove Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.98% ( | 25.03% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.31% ( | 59.69% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Cove Rangers |
| 2-1 @ 8.74% ( 1-0 @ 8.34% ( 2-0 @ 6.31% ( 3-1 @ 4.4% ( 3-0 @ 3.18% ( 3-2 @ 3.05% ( 4-1 @ 1.66% ( 4-0 @ 1.2% ( 4-2 @ 1.15% ( Other @ 2.43% Total : 40.46% | 1-1 @ 11.55% ( 2-2 @ 6.05% ( 0-0 @ 5.52% ( 3-3 @ 1.41% ( Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.73% | 1-2 @ 8.01% ( 0-1 @ 7.64% ( 0-2 @ 5.29% ( 1-3 @ 3.7% ( 2-3 @ 2.79% ( 0-3 @ 2.45% ( 1-4 @ 1.28% ( 2-4 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 2.68% Total : 34.81% |