Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a East Kilbride win with a probability of 48.01%. A win for Cove Rangers had a probability of 30.56% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a East Kilbride win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.92%) and 2-0 (5.54%). The likeliest Cove Rangers win was 1-2 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that East Kilbride would win this match.