Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stenhousemuir win with a probability of 47.64%. A win for Cove Rangers had a probability of 27.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stenhousemuir win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Cove Rangers win was 0-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stenhousemuir would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stenhousemuir | Draw | Cove Rangers |
| 47.64% ( | 24.7% ( | 27.66% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.09% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.48% ( | 47.52% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.28% ( | 69.72% ( |
| Stenhousemuir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.99% ( | 20% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.8% ( | 52.19% ( |
| Cove Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.86% ( | 31.14% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.54% ( | 67.46% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Stenhousemuir | Draw | Cove Rangers |
| 1-0 @ 10.02% ( 2-1 @ 9.41% ( 2-0 @ 8.07% ( 3-1 @ 5.05% ( 3-0 @ 4.33% ( 3-2 @ 2.95% ( 4-1 @ 2.03% 4-0 @ 1.74% ( 4-2 @ 1.19% ( Other @ 2.87% Total : 47.64% | 1-1 @ 11.69% 0-0 @ 6.23% ( 2-2 @ 5.49% ( 3-3 @ 1.15% ( Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.7% | 0-1 @ 7.27% ( 1-2 @ 6.82% ( 0-2 @ 4.24% ( 1-3 @ 2.65% ( 2-3 @ 2.14% ( 0-3 @ 1.65% ( Other @ 2.89% Total : 27.66% |