Oct 5, 2024 3.00pm

1

5

HT : 0 3

FT Palmerston Park

Matty Douglas 23'
Jack Hannah 52'
Michael Hewitt 58'
Matty Douglas 67'
Michael Hewitt 73'
Reece Lyon 74'

Ross Cunningham 26'
Ross Cunningham 35'
Scott Williamson 41'
Samuel Harding 63'
Scott Williamson 70'
Samuel Harding 73'

Queen of the South vs Kelty Hearts - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Queen of the South

All competitions

W
D
W
L
L
L

Scottish League One

W
D
W
L
L
W

Last game

Sep 28, 2024 3.00pm

QotS 2 - 0 Dumbarton

Goals scored

46

Top scorer

Adam Brooks

Kelty Hearts

All competitions

W
L
L
W
D
D

Scottish League One

W
L
L
D
D
W

Last game

Sep 28, 2024 3.00pm

Kelty Hearts 3 - 0 Annan

Goals scored

40

Top scorer

Ross Cunningham

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 45.66%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 31.08% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.45%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.

Result

Queen of the South 45.66% ▼ (-0.34)

Draw 23.26% ▼ (-0.09)

Kelty Hearts 31.08% ▲ (+0.42)

Both Teams to Score:

62.36% ▲ (+0.56)

Goals

Over 2.5 61.05% ▲ (+0.64)

Under 2.5 38.94% ▼ (-0.63)

Over 3.5 38.74% ▲ (+0.67)

Under 3.5 61.26% ▼ (-0.67)

Over 4.5 21.13% ▲ (+0.52)

Under 4.5 78.86% ▼ (-0.52)

Queen of the South Goals

Over 0.5 82.58% ▲ (+0.12)

Under 0.5 17.42% ▼ (-0.12)

Over 1.5 52.14% ▲ (+0.21)

Under 1.5 47.86% ▼ (-0.21)

Kelty Hearts Goals

Over 0.5 75.51% ▲ (+0.57)

Under 0.5 24.49% ▼ (-0.57)

Over 1.5 41.06% ▲ (+0.80)

Under 1.5 58.94% ▼ (-0.80)

Score analysis

Queen of the South 45.66%

Draw 23.26%

Kelty Hearts 31.08%

Queen of the South

2-1 @ 9.16% ▼ (-0.06)

1-0 @ 7.45% ▼ (-0.20)

2-0 @ 6.51% ▼ (-0.15)

3-1 @ 5.34% ▼ (-0.01)

3-0 @ 3.79% ▼ (-0.07)

3-2 @ 3.76% ▲ (+0.06)

4-1 @ 2.33% ▲ (+0.01)

4-0 @ 1.66% ▼ (-0.03)

4-2 @ 1.64% ▲ (+0.04)

Other @ 4.01%

Total : 45.66%

Draw

1-1 @ 10.48% ▼ (-0.10)

2-2 @ 6.45% ▲ (+0.08)

0-0 @ 4.27% ▼ (-0.13)

3-3 @ 1.76% ▲ (+0.06)

Other @ 0.3%

Total : 23.26%

Kelty Hearts

1-2 @ 7.38% ▲ (+0.06)

0-1 @ 6% ▼ (-0.08)

0-2 @ 4.22% ▲ (+0.02)

1-3 @ 3.46% ▲ (+0.09)

2-3 @ 3.02% ▲ (+0.09)

0-3 @ 1.98% ▲ (+0.04)

1-4 @ 1.22% ▲ (+0.05)

2-4 @ 1.06% ▲ (+0.05)

Other @ 2.73%

Total : 31.08%

Head to Head

Apr 6, 2024 3.00pm

1

2

HT : 0 1

FT Palmerston Park

Joel Mumbongo 47'
Kieran McKechnie 52'
Reece Lyon 65'
Harry Cochrane 75'
Lewis Gibson 90'+3'

Lewis Moore 14'
Reece Lyon 24'
Brad McKay 47'
Craig Johnston 67'
Brody Paterson 87'

Feb 10, 2024 3.00pm

0

0

HT : 0 0

FT New Central Park

Craig Johnston 16'
Michael Tidser 18'
Michael Tidser 18'
Billy Owens 39'

Lee Connelly 14'
Jack Brydon 55'

Nov 18, 2023 3.00pm

1

3

HT : 1 1

FT Palmerston Park

Jason Thomson 31'
Lee Connelly 36'
Alexander Ferguson 67'

Fergus Owens 44'
Michael Tidser 49'
Reece Lyon 55'
Lewis Moore 72'

Sep 30, 2023 3.00pm

3

1

HT : 1 1

FT New Central Park

Lewis Moore 43'
Reece Lyon 48'
Reece Lyon 67'
Adam Corbett 80'
Craig Johnston 90'+3'
Michael Tidser 90'+4'

Jacob Hutchinson 40'
Kyle McClelland 42'
Jacob Hutchinson 45'+1'

May 6, 2023 3.00pm

4

1

HT : 2 1

FT

Harry Cochrane 8'
Ruari Paton 27'
Connor Murray 65'
Ruari Paton 69'

Alfie Agyeman 34'

Feb 18, 2023 3.00pm

3

0

HT : 0 0

FT

Kallum Higginbotham 70'
Alfie Agyeman 76'
Kallum Higginbotham 84'

Form Data

QotS 2 - 0 Dumbarton

Stenhousemuir 0 - 0 QotS

QotS 2 - 1 Arbroath

QotS 0 - 3 Airdrieonians

Inverness 1 - 0 QotS

Montrose 1 - 0 QotS

Kelty Hearts 3 - 0 Annan

Alloa 1 - 0 Kelty Hearts

Kelty Hearts 1 - 3 Cove Rangers

Kelty Hearts 3 - 1 Elgin

Dumbarton 2 - 2 Kelty Hearts

Kelty Hearts 0 - 0 Inverness