Alloa Athletic
Cove Rangers
East Fife
Hamilton logo
Inverness CT
Kelty Hearts
Montrose
Peterhead
Queen of the South
Stenhousemuir
Queen of the South
Scottish League One | Gameweek 6
Sep 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
Palmerston Park
Arbroath

QotS
2 - 1
Arbroath

McKechnie (6'), Lyon (48')
Douglas (69'), Doherty (90+3'), Johnstone (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Flynn (10')
Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Queen of the South and Arbroath.

Form, Standings, Stats

Queen of the South

All competitions
Scottish League One
Last Game: QotS 0-3 Airdrieonians
Saturday, September 7 at 3pm in Scottish Challenge Cup

Arbroath

All competitions
Scottish League One
Last Game: Arbroath 3-0 Montrose
Saturday, September 7 at 3pm in Scottish Challenge Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 45.04%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 30.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 1-2 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Queen of the South in this match.

Result
Queen of the SouthDrawArbroath
45.04% (-4.405 -4.41)24.5% (0.322 0.32)30.46% (4.085 4.09)
Both teams to score 57.62% (1.87 1.87)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.97% (1.124 1.12)45.03% (-1.122 -1.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.62% (1.07 1.07)67.38% (-1.069 -1.07)
Queen of the South Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.89% (-1.378 -1.38)20.11% (1.379 1.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.64% (-2.259 -2.26)52.36% (2.26 2.26)
Arbroath Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.12% (3.523 3.52)27.88% (-3.521 -3.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.5% (4.284 4.28)63.49% (-4.283 -4.28)
Score Analysis
    Queen of the South 45.04%
    Arbroath 30.46%
    Draw 24.49%
Queen of the SouthDrawArbroath
2-1 @ 9.21% (-0.345 -0.35)
1-0 @ 8.99% (-0.859 -0.86)
2-0 @ 7.21% (-1.038 -1.04)
3-1 @ 4.93% (-0.411 -0.41)
3-0 @ 3.86% (-0.751 -0.75)
3-2 @ 3.15% (0.055 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.98% (-0.259 -0.26)
4-0 @ 1.55% (-0.383 -0.38)
4-2 @ 1.26% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 45.04%
1-1 @ 11.48% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.88% (0.348 0.35)
0-0 @ 5.61% (-0.275 -0.28)
3-3 @ 1.34% (0.146 0.15)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.49%
1-2 @ 7.33% (0.726 0.73)
0-1 @ 7.16% (0.349 0.35)
0-2 @ 4.57% (0.627 0.63)
1-3 @ 3.12% (0.571 0.57)
2-3 @ 2.5% (0.367 0.37)
0-3 @ 1.95% (0.423 0.42)
1-4 @ 1% (0.258 0.26)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 30.46%

Head to Head
Oct 14, 2023 3pm
Fourth Round
QotS
1-2
Arbroath
Doherty (12')
McKay (60')
Bird (54'), McKenna (90')
McKenna (48'), Dunnwald (71')
Apr 16, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 34
Arbroath
5-1
QotS
Hamilton (25'), Hamilton (37', 59'), Cameron (54' og.), Craigen (90')
Hamilton (22'), O'Brien (73')
Roy (12')
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 26
QotS
0-0
Arbroath
Hamilton (76')
Nov 13, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 14
Arbroath
1-1
QotS
McKenna (67')
Donnelly (40')
Cameron (55')
Cameron (69'), Gibson (77'), Roy (87')
Sep 18, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 6
QotS
0-2
Arbroath

Paton (6')
O'Brien (16'), Nouble (79')
O'Brien (74')
Gold (57')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!