Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 39.45%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 35.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 1-0 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result
Arbroath	Draw	Montrose
35.39% ( 0.1)	25.15% ( 0.01)	39.45% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 57.07% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.51% (

-0.01)

46.49% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.23% (

-0.01)

68.77% (

0.01)

Arbroath Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.45% (

0.05)

25.54% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.59% (

0.07)

60.41% (

-0.07)

Montrose Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.65% (

-0.06)

23.35% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.68% (

-0.09)

57.32% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Arbroath 35.39%

Montrose 39.45%

Draw 25.15%

Arbroath	Draw	Montrose
1-0 @ 8.14% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.08% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.56% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.68% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.67% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.53% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.25% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 2.58% Total : 35.39%	1-1 @ 11.84% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.97% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.88% 3-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.15%	0-1 @ 8.68% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.61% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.31% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 4.18% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.06% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.85% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.52% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 2.1% Total : 39.45%