Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 43.77%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 32.15% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.13%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 2-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.