Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 37.78%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 37.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.91%) and 2-0 (5.78%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 1-2 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queen of the South would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Queen of the South | Draw | Dumbarton |
| 37.78% ( | 24.7% ( | 37.52% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.87% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.77% ( | 44.23% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.39% ( | 66.61% ( |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.8% ( | 23.2% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.9% ( | 57.1% ( |
| Dumbarton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.66% ( | 23.34% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.7% ( | 57.3% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Queen of the South | Draw | Dumbarton |
| 2-1 @ 8.41% ( 1-0 @ 7.91% 2-0 @ 5.78% 3-1 @ 4.09% ( 3-2 @ 2.98% ( 3-0 @ 2.81% ( 4-1 @ 1.5% 4-2 @ 1.09% 4-0 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 2.18% Total : 37.78% | 1-1 @ 11.51% 2-2 @ 6.12% 0-0 @ 5.42% ( 3-3 @ 1.45% Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.7% | 1-2 @ 8.38% ( 0-1 @ 7.88% ( 0-2 @ 5.73% ( 1-3 @ 4.06% ( 2-3 @ 2.97% 0-3 @ 2.78% 1-4 @ 1.48% 2-4 @ 1.08% 0-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.16% Total : 37.52% |