Peterhead
Scottish Challenge Cup | Third Round
Sep 7, 2024 at 3pm UK
Balmoor Stadium
Dumbarton

Peterhead
1 - 0
Dumbarton

Barry (65')
Armstrong (33'), Oluyemi (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Gray (22'), Young (26'), Mumbongo (37'), Wallace (38'), Blair (45+2')
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Third Round clash between Peterhead and Dumbarton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Edinburgh 0-4 Peterhead
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Dumbarton 2-2 Kelty Hearts
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterhead win with a probability of 38.54%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 36.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterhead win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.14%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 0-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Peterhead in this match.

Result
PeterheadDrawDumbarton
38.54% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)25.17% (0.010000000000002 0.01)36.29% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 57.12% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.53% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)46.47% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.25% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)68.75% (0.032000000000011 0.03)
Peterhead Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.19% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)23.81% (0.031000000000002 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.02% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)57.98% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Dumbarton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.97% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)25.03% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.3% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)59.69% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Peterhead 38.54%
    Dumbarton 36.29%
    Draw 25.16%
PeterheadDrawDumbarton
1-0 @ 8.55% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-1 @ 8.5% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 6.14% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 4.07% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.94% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.82% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.46% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.05% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.01% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 38.54%
1-1 @ 11.84%
0-0 @ 5.96% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.89% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.3% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.16%
0-1 @ 8.26% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 5.72% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.79% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 2.72% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 2.64% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.31%
2-4 @ 0.94% (-0.001 -0)
0-4 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 36.29%

Head to Head
May 4, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 36
Peterhead
2-1
Dumbarton
Shanks (7'), Brown (35')
Brown (68'), Brown (68')
Brown (72'), Brown (72')
Wilson (48')
Lennon (29'), Hilton (38'), Wilson (57')
Mar 2, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 27
Dumbarton
1-0
Peterhead
Ruth (73')
Crighton (32'), Pignatiello (90')

Goldie (45+1'), Strachan (59'), Strachan (59'), Shanks (67')
Jan 9, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Peterhead
3-1
Dumbarton
McAllister (82', 90' pen.), Brown (90+2')
Shanks (33'), Strachan (43'), Strachan (43'), Brown (56')
Wallace (2')
Blair (29'), Newbury (49'), Ruth (68')
Sep 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 7
Dumbarton
0-1
Peterhead

MacLean (80'), Gray (82'), Shiels (85')
Gray (87')
Ritchie (85')
Strachan (44'), McKee (45+5')
Jul 16, 2022 3pm
Group Stage
Peterhead
0-2
Dumbarton

Dow (48'), McDonald (56')
Dixon (45+1')
Gray (23'), Buchanan (71')
Blair (58')
rhs 2.0


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