Scottish Championship | Gameweek 9

Oct 18, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

The Hope CBD Stadium

Hamilton
1 - 3
Falkirk

Henderson (47')
Longridge (25'), Maguire (32'), Tumilty (51'), Kilday (69'), Williamson (70'), Martin (76'), Smith (80')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Maguire (5' og.), Miller (29'), Spencer (34')
Nesbitt (75'), Spencer (76'), Shanley (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Scottish Championship clash between Hamilton Academical and Falkirk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hamilton Academical

All competitions

Scottish Championship

Last Game: Hamilton 0-1 Morton
Friday, October 11 at 7.40pm in Scottish Challenge Cup

Goals
for

Falkirk

All competitions

Scottish Championship

Last Game: Partick 1-1 Falkirk
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 47.95%. A win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 28.32% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.7%) and 0-2 (7.46%). The likeliest Hamilton Academical win was 2-1 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.

Result
Hamilton Academical	Draw	Falkirk
28.32% ( -0.15)	23.73% ( 0.04)	47.95% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 58.88% (

-0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.25% (

-0.3)

42.75% (

0.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.84% (

-0.3)

65.16% (

0.3)

Hamilton Academical Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.81% (

-0.26)

28.19% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.11% (

-0.33)

63.89% (

0.34)

Falkirk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82% (

-0.07)

18% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.13% (

-0.12)

48.87% (

0.13)

Score Analysis

Hamilton Academical 28.32%

Falkirk 47.95%

Draw 23.72%

Hamilton Academical	Draw	Falkirk
2-1 @ 6.98% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 6.43% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 4.07% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.94% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.72% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.73% Total : 28.32%	1-1 @ 11.01% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.08% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.72%	1-2 @ 9.45% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.7% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 7.46% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 5.4% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.26% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 3.42% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 2.31% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.83% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.47% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.65% Total : 47.95%