Scottish Championship Gameweek 8
Oct 5, 2024 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Falkirk Community Stadium
  • Ethan Ross 8' goal
  • Ethan Ross 51' goal

Falkirk vs Ayr United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Falkirk

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Sep 28, 2024 3.00pm
Raith Rovers 1 - 0 Falkirk
Goals scored
72
Top scorer
Calvin Miller

Ayr United

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Sep 28, 2024 3.00pm
Ayr 1 - 0 Morton
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
George Oakley

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 50.32%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 25.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 0-1 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.

Result

Falkirk 50.32% (+1.69)
Draw 24.06% (-0.29)
Ayr United 25.62% (-1.41)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.44% (-0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.77% (+0.17)
Under 2.5 46.22% (-0.18)
Over 3.5 31.48% (+0.16)
Under 3.5 68.51% (-0.17)
Over 4.5 15.71% (+0.11)
Under 4.5 84.29% (-0.12)

Falkirk Goals

Over 0.5 81.59% (+0.74)
Under 0.5 18.41% (-0.74)
Over 1.5 50.43% (+1.24)
Under 1.5 49.56% (-1.24)

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5 67.95% (-1.02)
Under 0.5 32.04% (+1.02)
Over 1.5 31.49% (-1.18)
Under 1.5 68.51% (+1.17)

Score analysis

Falkirk 50.32%
Draw 24.05%
Ayr United 25.62%
Falkirk
1-0 @ 9.98% (+0.17)
2-1 @ 9.61% (+0.12)
2-0 @ 8.45% (+0.33)
3-1 @ 5.42% (+0.19)
3-0 @ 4.77% (+0.30)
3-2 @ 3.09% (+0.03)
4-1 @ 2.29% (+0.14)
4-0 @ 2.02% (+0.17)
4-2 @ 1.31% (+0.05)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 50.32%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.36% (-0.14)
0-0 @ 5.9% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 5.47% (-0.09)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.05%
Ayr United
0-1 @ 6.71% (-0.24)
1-2 @ 6.47% (-0.26)
0-2 @ 3.82% (-0.25)
1-3 @ 2.45% (-0.18)
2-3 @ 2.08% (-0.10)
0-3 @ 1.45% (-0.14)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 25.62%

Head to Head

Scottish League Cup
Jul 16, 2024 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Somerset Park
  • Anton Dowds 5' goal
  • Anton Dowds 56' yellowcard
  • Roy Syla 58' yellowcard
  • Marco Rus 59' yellowcard
  • Fraser Bryden 66' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Keelan Adams 31'
  • yellowcard Finn Yeats 52'
  • yellowcard Ross Maciver 69'
Scottish Challenge Cup
Sep 5, 2023 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Somerset Park
  • Roy Syla 50' yellowcard
  • Roy Syla 70' redcard
  • Sean McGinty 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Liam Henderson 30'
Scottish Cup
Mar 13, 2023 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Falkirk Community Stadium
  • Callumn Morrison 66' goal
  • Kai Kennedy 83' goal
  • goal Dipo Akinyemi 12'
Scottish League Cup
Jul 24, 2021 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT Somerset Park
Scottish League Cup
Jul 20, 2019 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Luke McCowan 26' goal
  • Michael Moffat 36' yellowcard
  • Ross Doohan 47' yellowcard
  • Andrew Geggan 75' goal
  • Aaron Muirhead 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ian McShane 22'
  • goal Declan McManus 42'
  • redcard Mark Durnan 47'
  • yellowcard Gregor Buchanan 78'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 28
Mar 8, 2019 7.05pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Falkirk Community Stadium (Falkirk)
  • Jordan McGhee 27' goal
  • Jordan McGhee 40' goal