Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 50.32%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 25.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 0-1 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Falkirk | Draw | Ayr United |
| 50.32% ( | 24.06% ( | 25.62% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.44% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.77% ( | 46.22% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.48% ( | 68.51% ( |
| Falkirk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.59% ( | 18.41% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.43% ( | 49.56% ( |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.95% ( | 32.04% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.49% ( | 68.51% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Falkirk | Draw | Ayr United |
| 1-0 @ 9.98% ( 2-1 @ 9.61% ( 2-0 @ 8.45% ( 3-1 @ 5.42% ( 3-0 @ 4.77% ( 3-2 @ 3.09% ( 4-1 @ 2.29% ( 4-0 @ 2.02% ( 4-2 @ 1.31% ( Other @ 3.39% Total : 50.32% | 1-1 @ 11.36% ( 0-0 @ 5.9% ( 2-2 @ 5.47% ( 3-3 @ 1.17% ( Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.05% | 0-1 @ 6.71% ( 1-2 @ 6.47% ( 0-2 @ 3.82% ( 1-3 @ 2.45% ( 2-3 @ 2.08% ( 0-3 @ 1.45% ( Other @ 2.64% Total : 25.62% |