Airdrieonians
Arbroath
Ayr United
Dunfermline Athletic
Greenock Morton
Partick Thistle
Queen's Park
Raith Rovers
Ross County
St Johnstone logo
Falkirk
Scottish Championship | Gameweek 8
Oct 5, 2024 at 3pm UK
Falkirk Community Stadium
Ayr United

Falkirk
2 - 0
Ayr

Ross (8', 51')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Falkirk and Ayr United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Raith Rovers 1-0 Falkirk
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Ayr 1-0 Morton
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 50.32%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 25.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 0-1 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.

Result
FalkirkDrawAyr United
50.32% (1.685 1.69)24.06% (-0.288 -0.29)25.62% (-1.404 -1.4)
Both teams to score 55.44% (-0.32 -0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.77% (0.165 0.16)46.22% (-0.173 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.48% (0.156 0.16)68.51% (-0.16200000000001 -0.16)
Falkirk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.59% (0.73099999999999 0.73)18.41% (-0.739 -0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.43% (1.23 1.23)49.56% (-1.236 -1.24)
Ayr United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.95% (-1.017 -1.02)32.04% (1.011 1.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.49% (-1.171 -1.17)68.51% (1.164 1.16)
Score Analysis
    Falkirk 50.32%
    Ayr United 25.62%
    Draw 24.05%
FalkirkDrawAyr United
1-0 @ 9.98% (0.16 0.16)
2-1 @ 9.61% (0.114 0.11)
2-0 @ 8.45% (0.329 0.33)
3-1 @ 5.42% (0.189 0.19)
3-0 @ 4.77% (0.292 0.29)
3-2 @ 3.09% (0.024 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.29% (0.131 0.13)
4-0 @ 2.02% (0.167 0.17)
4-2 @ 1.31% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 50.32%
1-1 @ 11.36% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-0 @ 5.9% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.47% (-0.087 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.05%
0-1 @ 6.71% (-0.239 -0.24)
1-2 @ 6.47% (-0.259 -0.26)
0-2 @ 3.82% (-0.248 -0.25)
1-3 @ 2.45% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-3 @ 2.08% (-0.093 -0.09)
0-3 @ 1.45% (-0.138 -0.14)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 25.62%

Head to Head
Jul 16, 2024 7.45pm
Group Stage
Ayr
1-0
Falkirk
Dowds (5')
Dowds (56'), Syla (58'), Rus (59'), Bryden (66')

Adams (31'), Yeats (52'), Maciver (69')
Sep 5, 2023 7.45pm
Third Round
Ayr
0-1
Falkirk

Syla (50'), McGinty (90+3')
Syla (70')
Henderson (30')
Mar 13, 2023 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Falkirk
2-1
Ayr
Morrison (66' pen.), Kennedy (83')
Akinyemi (12')
Jul 24, 2021 3pm
Group Stage
Ayr
3-0
Falkirk
Jul 20, 2019 3pm
Group Stage
Ayr
2-1
Falkirk
McCowan (26'), Geggan (75')
Moffat (36'), Doohan (47'), Muirhead (78')
McManus (42')
McShane (22'), Buchanan (78')
Durnan (47')