Airdrieonians
Arbroath
Ayr United
Dunfermline Athletic
Greenock Morton
Partick Thistle
Queen's Park
Raith Rovers
Ross County
St Johnstone logo
Ayr United
Scottish Championship | Gameweek 5
Sep 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
Somerset Park
Partick Thistle

Ayr
1 - 1
Partick

Dowds (25' pen.)
Oakley (35'), Howley (45+1'), Stanger (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Milne (74')
O'Reilly (29'), Crawford (41'), McBeth (44')
Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Ayr United and Partick Thistle.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ayr United

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last Game: Ayr 3-2 Raith Rovers
Sunday, September 8 at 1pm in Scottish Challenge Cup

Partick Thistle

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last Game: Partick 1-3 Alloa
Saturday, September 7 at 3pm in Scottish Challenge Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 49.7%. A win for Partick Thistle had a probability of 26.53% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Partick Thistle win was 1-2 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.

Result
Ayr UnitedDrawPartick Thistle
49.7% (0.295 0.3)23.76% (-0.023 -0.02)26.53% (-0.275 -0.27)
Both teams to score 57.26% (-0.174 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.78% (-0.117 -0.12)44.21% (0.115 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.41% (-0.113 -0.11)66.59% (0.11099999999999 0.11)
Ayr United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.11% (0.068999999999988 0.07)17.88% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.33% (0.121 0.12)48.66% (-0.123 -0.12)
Partick Thistle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.73% (-0.271 -0.27)30.26% (0.268 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.56% (-0.322 -0.32)66.43% (0.321 0.32)
Score Analysis
    Ayr United 49.7%
    Partick Thistle 26.53%
    Draw 23.76%
Ayr UnitedDrawPartick Thistle
2-1 @ 9.58% (0.02 0.02)
1-0 @ 9.32% (0.068 0.07)
2-0 @ 8.02% (0.076 0.08)
3-1 @ 5.5% (0.024 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.6% (0.053999999999999 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.29% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.37% (0.015 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.98% (0.028 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.41% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 49.7%
1-1 @ 11.13%
2-2 @ 5.73% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.41% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.31% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.76%
1-2 @ 6.65% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-1 @ 6.47% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.87% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.65% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.28% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.54% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 26.53%

Head to Head
Apr 27, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 35
Partick
0-0
Ayr
Willoughby (88')
Feb 27, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 26
Ayr
4-3
Partick
McAllister (15'), Willoughby (43', 45+2'), McHugh (84')
McHugh (51'), McAllister (56')
Graham (33'), Adeloye (78'), Sanders (83' og.)
Oct 31, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Partick
2-2
Ayr
Graham (17'), Milne (47')
Milne (88')
Murphy (19', 75')
Sep 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Ayr
0-4
Partick

Syla (14'), McAllister (57'), Reading (83')
Graham (2'), Lawless (58', 67'), Adeloye (81')
Muirhead (29')
May 26, 2023 7.45pm
Semi-Finals 2nd Leg
Ayr
0-5
Partick

McAlear (32'), McAllister (58')
Akinyemi (25')
McMillan (7'), Tiffoney (27', 54'), Lawless (63'), Holt (88')
Muirhead (25')
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