Partick Thistle
Scottish Challenge Cup | Third Round
Sep 7, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Energy Check Stadium
Alloa Athletic

Partick
1 - 3
Alloa

Graham (14')
Sayers (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Cawley (65', 76'), Taggart (90+5' pen.)
Waters (80'), Virtanen (85'), Nevans (89')
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Third Round clash between Partick Thistle and Alloa Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Partick Thistle

All competitions
Last Game: Partick 3-0 Queen's Park
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Alloa Athletic

All competitions
Last Game: Arbroath 0-0 Alloa
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Partick Thistle win with a probability of 57.34%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 21.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Partick Thistle win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for an Alloa Athletic win it was 1-2 (5.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.

Result
Partick ThistleDrawAlloa Athletic
57.34% (0.533 0.53)21.65% (-0.287 -0.29)21.01% (-0.243 -0.24)
Both teams to score 57.81% (0.63 0.63)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.59% (1.004 1)40.41% (-1.001 -1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.21% (1.025 1.03)62.78% (-1.023 -1.02)
Partick Thistle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.1% (0.503 0.5)13.9% (-0.5 -0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.68% (0.983 0.98)41.32% (-0.979 -0.98)
Alloa Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.14% (0.342 0.34)32.86% (-0.339 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.57% (0.379 0.38)69.43% (-0.375 -0.38)
Score Analysis
    Partick Thistle 57.34%
    Alloa Athletic 21.01%
    Draw 21.64%
Partick ThistleDrawAlloa Athletic
2-1 @ 9.9% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-0 @ 9.01% (-0.252 -0.25)
2-0 @ 8.89% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
3-1 @ 6.51% (0.116 0.12)
3-0 @ 5.85% (0.05 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.62% (0.097 0.1)
4-1 @ 3.21% (0.113 0.11)
4-0 @ 2.89% (0.076 0.08)
4-2 @ 1.79% (0.079 0.08)
5-1 @ 1.27% (0.067 0.07)
5-0 @ 1.14% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 57.34%
1-1 @ 10.02% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-2 @ 5.51% (0.05 0.05)
0-0 @ 4.57% (-0.213 -0.21)
3-3 @ 1.34% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 21.64%
1-2 @ 5.58% (-0.050999999999999 -0.05)
0-1 @ 5.08% (-0.188 -0.19)
0-2 @ 2.83% (-0.078 -0.08)
1-3 @ 2.07% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 2.04% (0.037 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.05% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 21.01%

Head to Head
Mar 14, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 29
Partick
P-P
Alloa
Jan 4, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 20
Alloa
1-1
Partick
Brown (62')
Cawley (70'), Deas (72'), Malcolm (74')
Bannigan (74' pen.)
Jones (78')
Nov 26, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Partick
1-1
Alloa
Slater (38')
Cole (80')
Trouten (15')
Graham (73'), Robertson (82')
Aug 3, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 1
Alloa
1-1
Partick
Trouten (34')
Cardle (60')
Penrice (81')
Apr 20, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 34
Partick
2-1
Alloa
Cardle (47'), McDonald (66')
McMillan (33')
Aitchison (13')
Robertson (65')