Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen's Park win with a probability of 39.48%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 35.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen's Park win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 0-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Queen's Park | Draw | Ayr United |
| 39.48% ( | 25.39% ( | 35.13% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.19% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.39% ( | 47.61% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.19% ( | 69.81% ( |
| Queen's Park Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.16% ( | 23.84% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.98% ( | 58.02% ( |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.77% ( | 26.23% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.67% ( | 61.33% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Queen's Park | Draw | Ayr United |
| 1-0 @ 8.97% ( 2-1 @ 8.6% ( 2-0 @ 6.43% ( 3-1 @ 4.11% ( 3-0 @ 3.07% ( 3-2 @ 2.75% ( 4-1 @ 1.47% ( 4-0 @ 1.1% ( 4-2 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 1.99% Total : 39.48% | 1-1 @ 11.99% 0-0 @ 6.25% ( 2-2 @ 5.76% 3-3 @ 1.23% ( Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.39% | 0-1 @ 8.37% ( 1-2 @ 8.03% ( 0-2 @ 5.6% ( 1-3 @ 3.58% ( 2-3 @ 2.57% ( 0-3 @ 2.5% ( 1-4 @ 1.2% ( Other @ 3.29% Total : 35.13% |