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Coppa Italia | First Round
Aug 13, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Friuli

Udinese
3 - 1
Ascoli

Pereyra (11', 55'), Molina (53')
Stryger Larsen (38')
FT(HT: 1-0)
D'Orazio (90+2')
Avlonitis (29'), Baschirotto (63'), Dionisi (80')
Coverage of the Coppa Italia First Round clash between Udinese and Ascoli.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 37.57%. A win for Ascoli had a probability of 35.9% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Ascoli win was 0-1 (9.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Udinese would win this match.

Result
UdineseDrawAscoli
37.57%26.53%35.9%
Both teams to score 52.45%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.57%52.42%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.89%74.1%
Udinese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.91%27.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.54%62.46%
Ascoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.93%28.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.27%63.73%
Score Analysis
    Udinese 37.57%
    Ascoli 35.9%
    Draw 26.52%
UdineseDrawAscoli
1-0 @ 9.93%
2-1 @ 8.24%
2-0 @ 6.49%
3-1 @ 3.59%
3-0 @ 2.82%
3-2 @ 2.28%
4-1 @ 1.17%
4-0 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 37.57%
1-1 @ 12.61%
0-0 @ 7.6%
2-2 @ 5.24%
3-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.52%
0-1 @ 9.66%
1-2 @ 8.02%
0-2 @ 6.14%
1-3 @ 3.4%
0-3 @ 2.6%
2-3 @ 2.22%
1-4 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 35.9%