J1 League | Gameweek 23
Jul 13, 2024 at 11am UK
Grenada National Stadium

FC Tokyo
2 - 0
Albirex Niigata

Endo (6'), Nozawa (78')
Kimoto (42')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Endo (24'), Horigome (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's J1 League clash between FC Tokyo and Albirex Niigata, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Tokyo

All competitions
Last Game: Reysol 3-2 FC Tokyo
Saturday, July 6 at 11.30am in J1 League

Albirex Niigata

All competitions
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 3-4 Sagan Tosu
Saturday, July 6 at 10.30am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Tokyo win with a probability of 40.46%. A win for Albirex Niigata had a probability of 33.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Tokyo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Albirex Niigata win was 0-1 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Tokyo would win this match.

Result
FC TokyoDrawAlbirex Niigata
40.46% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)26.29% (-0.177 -0.18)33.25% (0.191 0.19)
Both teams to score 52.79% (0.625 0.63)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.19% (0.777 0.78)51.81% (-0.772 -0.77)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.43% (0.671 0.67)73.57% (-0.664 -0.66)
FC Tokyo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.79% (0.351 0.35)25.21% (-0.345 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.05% (0.477 0.48)59.95% (-0.471 -0.47)
Albirex Niigata Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.58% (0.51100000000001 0.51)29.42% (-0.506 -0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.59% (0.62 0.62)65.41% (-0.61399999999999 -0.61)
Score Analysis
    FC Tokyo 40.45%
    Albirex Niigata 33.25%
    Draw 26.29%
FC TokyoDrawAlbirex Niigata
1-0 @ 10.21% (-0.22 -0.22)
2-1 @ 8.61% (0.028 0.03)
2-0 @ 7.04% (-0.076 -0.08)
3-1 @ 3.96% (0.052 0.05)
3-0 @ 3.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.42% (0.064 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.36% (0.031 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.11% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 40.45%
1-1 @ 12.5% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 7.42% (-0.231 -0.23)
2-2 @ 5.27% (0.09 0.09)
3-3 @ 0.99% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.29%
0-1 @ 9.08% (-0.152 -0.15)
1-2 @ 7.65% (0.056 0.06)
0-2 @ 5.55% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.12% (0.066 0.07)
0-3 @ 2.27% (0.026 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.15% (0.067 0.07)
1-4 @ 0.96% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 33.25%

How you voted: FC Tokyo vs Albirex Niigata

FC Tokyo
47.1%
Draw
47.1%
Albirex Niigata
5.9%
17
Head to Head
Apr 27, 2024 6am
Gameweek 10
Albirex Niigata
1-3
FC Tokyo
Hayakawa (90')
Miyamoto (26'), Chiba (34'), Ota (82')
Nakagawa (39'), Shirai (49'), Oliveira (62')
Nov 11, 2023 5am
Gameweek 32
Albirex Niigata
0-0
FC Tokyo
Hoshi (23'), Fitzgerald (32')
Matsuki (44'), Koizumi (50')
Apr 29, 2023 7am
Gameweek 10
FC Tokyo
2-1
Albirex Niigata
Nakagawa (8'), Oliveira (34')
Ito (12')