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J1 League | Gameweek 23
Jul 13, 2024 at 11am UK
Grenada National Stadium

FC Tokyo
2 - 0
Albirex Niigata

Endo (6'), Nozawa (78')
Kimoto (42')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Endo (24'), Horigome (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's J1 League clash between FC Tokyo and Albirex Niigata, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Reysol 3-2 FC Tokyo
Saturday, July 6 at 11.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 3-4 Sagan Tosu
Saturday, July 6 at 10.30am in J1 League

We said: FC Tokyo 1-1 Albirex Niigata

Both teams will be keen to bounce back to winning ways on Saturday after disappointing results last time out, and we anticipate a hard-fought encounter which could end level in the Japanese capital. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Tokyo win with a probability of 40.46%. A win for Albirex Niigata had a probability of 33.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Tokyo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Albirex Niigata win was 0-1 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Tokyo would win this match.

Result
FC TokyoDrawAlbirex Niigata
40.46% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 26.29% (-0.177 -0.18) 33.25% (0.191 0.19)
Both teams to score 52.79% (0.625 0.63)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.19% (0.777 0.78)51.81% (-0.772 -0.77)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.43% (0.671 0.67)73.57% (-0.664 -0.66)
FC Tokyo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.79% (0.351 0.35)25.21% (-0.345 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.05% (0.477 0.48)59.95% (-0.471 -0.47)
Albirex Niigata Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.58% (0.51100000000001 0.51)29.42% (-0.506 -0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.59% (0.62 0.62)65.41% (-0.61399999999999 -0.61)
Score Analysis
    FC Tokyo 40.45%
    Albirex Niigata 33.25%
    Draw 26.29%
FC TokyoDrawAlbirex Niigata
1-0 @ 10.21% (-0.22 -0.22)
2-1 @ 8.61% (0.028 0.03)
2-0 @ 7.04% (-0.076 -0.08)
3-1 @ 3.96% (0.052 0.05)
3-0 @ 3.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.42% (0.064 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.36% (0.031 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.11% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 40.45%
1-1 @ 12.5% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 7.42% (-0.231 -0.23)
2-2 @ 5.27% (0.09 0.09)
3-3 @ 0.99% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.29%
0-1 @ 9.08% (-0.152 -0.15)
1-2 @ 7.65% (0.056 0.06)
0-2 @ 5.55% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.12% (0.066 0.07)
0-3 @ 2.27% (0.026 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.15% (0.067 0.07)
1-4 @ 0.96% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 33.25%

How you voted: FC Tokyo vs Albirex Niigata

FC Tokyo
47.1%
Draw
47.1%
Albirex Niigata
5.9%
17
Head to Head
Apr 27, 2024 6am
Gameweek 10
Albirex Niigata
1-3
FC Tokyo
Hayakawa (90')
Miyamoto (26'), Chiba (34'), Ota (82')
Nakagawa (39'), Shirai (49'), Oliveira (62')
Nov 11, 2023 5am
Gameweek 32
Albirex Niigata
0-0
FC Tokyo
Hoshi (23'), Fitzgerald (32')
Matsuki (44'), Koizumi (50')
Apr 29, 2023 7am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
OT
Buccaneers
30-36
Falcons
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima321711463323162
2Vissel KobeVissel Kobe32187751302161
3Machida Zelvia32178746242259
4Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers3114894839950
5Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka32131183527850
6Tokyo Verdy32121284242048
7FC Tokyo32138114643347
8Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus32144144038246
9Cerezo OsakaCerezo32111293940-145
10Yokohama F MarinosYokohama31125145253-141
11Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki311010115045540
12Avispa Fukuoka32913102833-540
13Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa30109114340339
14Albirex Niigata32109134351-839
15Kyoto Sanga31108133750-1338
16Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare3298154450-635
17Kashiwa ReysolReysol31811123444-1035
18Jubilo Iwata3188153651-1532
19Consadole SapporoConsadole3278173657-2129
20Sagan Tosu3274213862-2425


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