J1 League Gameweek 23
Jul 13, 2024 11.00am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Grenada National Stadium
  • Keita Endo 6' goal
  • Yasuki Kimoto 42' yellowcard
  • Reon Nozawa 78' goal
  • yellowcard Ryo Endo 24'
  • yellowcard Yuto Horigome 36'

FC Tokyo vs Albirex Niigata - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Tokyo

All competitions
Last game
Jul 6, 2024 11.30am
Reysol 3 - 2 FC Tokyo
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Ryotaro Araki

Albirex Niigata

All competitions
Last game
Jul 6, 2024 10.30am
Albirex Niigata 3 - 4 Sagan Tosu
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Kaito Taniguchi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Tokyo win with a probability of 40.46%. A win for Albirex Niigata had a probability of 33.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Tokyo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Albirex Niigata win was 0-1 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Tokyo would win this match.

Result

FC Tokyo 40.46% (-0.01)
Draw 26.29% (-0.18)
Albirex Niigata 33.25% (+0.20)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.79% (+0.63)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.19% (+0.78)
Under 2.5 51.81% (-0.78)
Over 3.5 26.43% (+0.68)
Under 3.5 73.57% (-0.67)
Over 4.5 12.28% (+0.44)
Under 4.5 87.72% (-0.43)

FC Tokyo Goals

Over 0.5 74.79% (+0.36)
Under 0.5 25.21% (-0.35)
Over 1.5 40.05% (+0.48)
Under 1.5 59.95% (-0.48)

Albirex Niigata Goals

Over 0.5 70.58% (+0.52)
Under 0.5 29.42% (-0.51)
Over 1.5 34.59% (+0.63)
Under 1.5 65.41% (-0.62)

Score analysis

FC Tokyo 40.45%
Draw 26.29%
Albirex Niigata 33.25%
FC Tokyo
1-0 @ 10.21% (-0.22)
2-1 @ 8.61% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 7.04% (-0.08)
3-1 @ 3.96% (+0.06)
3-0 @ 3.23% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.42% (+0.07)
4-1 @ 1.36% (+0.04)
4-0 @ 1.11% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 40.45%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.5% (-0.09)
0-0 @ 7.42% (-0.24)
2-2 @ 5.27% (+0.09)
Other @ 1.1%
Total : 26.29%
Albirex Niigata
0-1 @ 9.08% (-0.16)
1-2 @ 7.65% (+0.06)
0-2 @ 5.55% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 3.12% (+0.07)
0-3 @ 2.27% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.15% (+0.07)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 33.25%

Head to Head

J1 League Gameweek 10
Apr 27, 2024 6.00am
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT Denka Big Swan Stadium
  • Eiji Miyamoto 26' yellowcard
  • Eiji Miyamoto 26' yellowcard
  • Kazuhiko Chiba 34' yellowcard
  • Kazuhiko Chiba 34' yellowcard
  • Shusuke Ota 82' yellowcard
  • Shusuke Ota 82' yellowcard
  • Fumiya Hayakawa 90' goal
  • Fumiya Hayakawa 90' goal
  • goal Teruhito Nakagawa 39'
  • goal Teruhito Nakagawa 39'
  • goal Kosuke Shirai 49'
  • goal Kosuke Shirai 49'
  • goal Diego Oliveira 62'
  • goal Diego Oliveira 62'
J1 League Gameweek 32
Nov 11, 2023 5.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Denka Big Swan Stadium
  • Yuji Hoshi 23' yellowcard
  • Michael Fitzgerald 32' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kuryu Matsuki 44'
  • yellowcard Kei Koizumi 50'
J1 League Gameweek 10
Apr 29, 2023 7.00am
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT Ajinomoto Stadium
  • Teruhito Nakagawa 8' goal
  • Diego Oliveira 34' goal
  • goal Ryotaro Ito 12'