J1 League | Gameweek 21
Jun 29, 2024 at 6am UK
Sapporo Atsubetsu Park Stadium

Consadole
0 - 1
Albirex Niigata


Osaki (84'), Osaki (84'), Komai (90+2'), Komai (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Taniguchi (52', 52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's J1 League clash between Consadole Sapporo and Albirex Niigata, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Consadole Sapporo

All competitions
Last Game: FC Tokyo 1-0 Consadole
Wednesday, June 26 at 11am in J1 League

Albirex Niigata

All competitions
Last Game: Hiroshima 1-1 Albirex Niigata
Wednesday, June 26 at 11am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Consadole Sapporo win with a probability of 47.62%. A win for Albirex Niigata had a probability of 28.55% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Consadole Sapporo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Albirex Niigata win was 1-2 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Albirex Niigata would win this match.

Result
Consadole SapporoDrawAlbirex Niigata
47.62% (3.893 3.89)23.83% (-0.631 -0.63)28.55% (-3.262 -3.26)
Both teams to score 58.71% (0.276 0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.95% (1.202 1.2)43.05% (-1.201 -1.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.55% (1.177 1.18)65.45% (-1.177 -1.18)
Consadole Sapporo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.75% (2.112 2.11)18.25% (-2.112 -2.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.71% (3.476 3.48)49.29% (-3.476 -3.48)
Albirex Niigata Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.82% (-1.559 -1.56)28.18% (1.558 1.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.13% (-2.018 -2.02)63.87% (2.018 2.02)
Score Analysis
    Consadole Sapporo 47.62%
    Albirex Niigata 28.55%
    Draw 23.83%
Consadole SapporoDrawAlbirex Niigata
2-1 @ 9.42% (0.339 0.34)
1-0 @ 8.75% (0.121 0.12)
2-0 @ 7.44% (0.576 0.58)
3-1 @ 5.34% (0.523 0.52)
3-0 @ 4.22% (0.577 0.58)
3-2 @ 3.38% (0.195 0.2)
4-1 @ 2.27% (0.354 0.35)
4-0 @ 1.79% (0.345 0.35)
4-2 @ 1.44% (0.17 0.17)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 47.62%
1-1 @ 11.08% (-0.33 -0.33)
2-2 @ 5.97% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.14% (-0.278 -0.28)
3-3 @ 1.43% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.83%
1-2 @ 7.02% (-0.539 -0.54)
0-1 @ 6.51% (-0.66 -0.66)
0-2 @ 4.13% (-0.622 -0.62)
1-3 @ 2.96% (-0.371 -0.37)
2-3 @ 2.52% (-0.133 -0.13)
0-3 @ 1.74% (-0.353 -0.35)
1-4 @ 0.94% (-0.165 -0.17)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 28.55%

How you voted: Consadole vs Albirex Niigata

Consadole Sapporo
28.6%
Draw
28.6%
Albirex Niigata
42.9%
7
Head to Head
Apr 13, 2024 6am
Gameweek 8
Albirex Niigata
1-1
Consadole
Akiyama (80')
Deng (53')
Asano (20')
Omori (38'), Sugeno (90+5')
Omori (74')
Jul 15, 2023 5am
Gameweek 21
Consadole
0-1
Albirex Niigata

Arano (25'), Kaneko (37'), Miyazawa (84'), Fernandes (86')
Suzuki (53')
Kojima (90+6'), Ko (90+3')
Arai (61')
> Preview
Mar 4, 2023 5am
Gameweek 3
Albirex Niigata
2-2
Consadole
Ito (20'), Ota (45+1')
Fitzgerald (17' og.), Asano (79')