Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Consadole Sapporo win with a probability of 39.92%. A win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 34.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Consadole Sapporo win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (6.45%). The likeliest Kyoto Sanga win was 1-0 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.