Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashiwa Reysol win with a probability of 39.6%. A win for FC Tokyo had a probability of 33.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kashiwa Reysol win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest FC Tokyo win was 0-1 (9.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kashiwa Reysol would win this match.

Result
Kashiwa Reysol	Draw	FC Tokyo
39.6% ( 0.13)	26.85% ( 0)	33.54% ( -0.14)

Both teams to score 51.06% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.96% (

-0.04)

54.03% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.53% (

-0.03)

75.46% (

0.02)

Kashiwa Reysol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.3% (

0.06)

26.69% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.04% (

0.08)

61.95% (

-0.08)

FC Tokyo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.66% (

-0.11)

30.33% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.48% (

-0.13)

66.51% (

0.12)

Score Analysis

Kashiwa Reysol 39.6%

FC Tokyo 33.54%

Draw 26.84%

Kashiwa Reysol	Draw	FC Tokyo
1-0 @ 10.69% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.42% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.06% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.71% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.11% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.21% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.15% Total : 39.6%	1-1 @ 12.75% 0-0 @ 8.1% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.84%	0-1 @ 9.66% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.61% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.76% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.03% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 0.9% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.29% Total : 33.54%