J1 League Gameweek 21
Sagan Tosu
Jun 30, 2024 11.00am
1
4
HT : 1 0
FT Ekimae Real Estate Stadium (Tosu)
Reysol
  • Marcelo Ryan 37' goal
  • Tae-Hyeon Kim 78' yellowcard
  • goal Matheus Savio 62'
  • goal Matheus Savio 64'
  • goal Kosuke Kinoshita 72'
  • goal Kosuke Kinoshita 90'

Sagan Tosu vs Kashiwa Reysol - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Sagan Tosu

All competitions
Last game
Jun 26, 2024 11.00am
Cerezo 1 - 0 Sagan Tosu
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Marcelo Ryan

Kashiwa Reysol

All competitions
Last game
Jun 26, 2024 11.00am
Kyoto Sanga 2 - 2 Reysol
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Kosuke Kinoshita

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashiwa Reysol win with a probability of 42.86%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 31.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kashiwa Reysol win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kashiwa Reysol would win this match.

Result

Sagan Tosu 31.45% ▲ (+0.27)
Draw 25.69% ▲ (+0.11)
Kashiwa Reysol 42.86% ▼ (-0.37)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.11% ▼ (-0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.17% ▼ (-0.33)
Under 2.5 49.82% ▲ (+0.34)
Over 3.5 28.18% ▼ (-0.30)
Under 3.5 71.82% ▲ (+0.30)
Over 4.5 13.43% ▼ (-0.20)
Under 4.5 86.57% ▲ (+0.21)

Sagan Tosu Goals

Over 0.5 70.38% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 0.5 29.62% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 1.5 34.34% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 65.66% ▼ (-0.02)

Kashiwa Reysol Goals

Over 0.5 76.87% ▼ (-0.32)
Under 0.5 23.12% ▲ (+0.33)
Over 1.5 43.01% ▼ (-0.47)
Under 1.5 56.98% ▲ (+0.48)

Score analysis

Sagan Tosu 31.45%
Draw 25.69%
Kashiwa Reysol 42.85%
Sagan Tosu
1-0 @ 8.33% ▲ (+0.12)
2-1 @ 7.42% ▲ (+0.04)
2-0 @ 5.07% ▲ (+0.08)
3-1 @ 3.01% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.21% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.06% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 31.45%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.2% ▲ (+0.06)
0-0 @ 6.85% ▲ (+0.10)
2-2 @ 5.44% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.08% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.69%
Kashiwa Reysol
0-1 @ 10.02% ▲ (+0.04)
1-2 @ 8.93% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 7.34% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 4.36% ▼ (-0.07)
0-3 @ 3.58% ▼ (-0.06)
2-3 @ 2.65% ▼ (-0.04)
1-4 @ 1.6% ▼ (-0.04)
0-4 @ 1.31% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 42.85%

Head to Head

J1 League Gameweek 10
Reysol
Apr 28, 2024 7.00am
1
1
HT : 2 2
FT SANKYO FRONTIER Kashiwa Stadium
Sagan Tosu
  • Diego 28' yellowcard
  • Diego 28' yellowcard
  • Takuya Shimamura 40' goal
  • Takuya Shimamura 40' goal
  • Takumi Tsuchiya 69' yellowcard
  • Takumi Tsuchiya 69' yellowcard
  • goal Marcelo Ryan 14'
  • goal Marcelo Ryan 14'
  • yellowcard Tae-Hyeon Kim 51'
  • yellowcard Tae-Hyeon Kim 51'
  • yellowcard Yoichi Naganuma 76'
  • yellowcard Yoichi Naganuma 76'
J1 League Gameweek 33
Reysol
Nov 25, 2023 5.00am
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT SANKYO FRONTIER Kashiwa Stadium
Sagan Tosu
  • Matheus Savio 34' goal
  • Mao Hosoya 38' goal
  • goal Cayman Togashi 4'
  • yellowcard So Kawahara 21'
  • yellowcard Kohei Tezuka 47'
  • goal Yoichi Naganuma 67'
J1 League Gameweek 8
Sagan Tosu
Apr 15, 2023 7.00am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Best Amenity Stadium
Reysol
  • Yoichi Naganuma 55' goal
  • goal Matheus Savio 75'
J1 League Gameweek 21
Sagan Tosu
Jul 10, 2022 11.00am
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Reysol
  • Taichi Kikuchi 71' yellowcard
  • goal Yuki Muto 19'
  • yellowcard Naoki Kawaguchi 90'+6'
J1 League Gameweek 10
Reysol
Apr 29, 2022 8.00am
1
4
HT : 0 2
FT
Sagan Tosu
  • Mao Hosoya 55' goal
  • goal Fuchi Honda 27'
  • yellowcard Kei Koizumi 30'
  • goal Masaya Tashiro 45'
  • goal Akito Fukuta 64'
  • goal Nanasei Iino 82'
  • yellowcard Naoyuki Fujita 90'+2'
J1 League Gameweek 25
Reysol
Aug 21, 2021 11.00am
1
3
HT : 1 2
FT
Sagan Tosu
  • Cristiano da Silva 37' goal
  • Yusuke Segawa 49' yellowcard
  • goal Yuta Higuchi 13'
  • goal Tomoya Koyamatsu 31'
  • goal Tomoya Koyamatsu 55'
  • yellowcard Hwang Seok-Ho 75'
  • yellowcard Il-Gyu Park 90'

Form Data

Cerezo 1 - 0 Sagan Tosu
Sagan Tosu 3 - 0 Kyoto Sanga
Avispa Fukuoka 2 - 0 Sagan Tosu
Sagan Tosu 0 - 1 FC Tokyo
Sagan Tosu 0 - 2 Nagoya Grampus
Sagan Tosu 5 - 2 Kawasaki
Kyoto Sanga 2 - 2 Reysol
Reysol 0 - 1 Hiroshima
Gamba Osaka 2 - 1 Reysol
Reysol 0 - 2 Avispa Fukuoka
Yokohama 4 - 0 Reysol
Kawasaki 1 - 1 Reysol