Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Tokyo win with a probability of 44.28%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 30.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Tokyo win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.14%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for FC Tokyo in this match.