J1 League | Gameweek 20
Jun 26, 2024 at 11am UK
Kyoto Nishikyogoku Stadium

Kyoto Sanga
2 - 2
Reysol

Misao (36'), Kawasaki (47')
Hara (57')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Hosoya (42'), Savio (90+6')
Sekine (34')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's J1 League clash between Kyoto Sanga and Kashiwa Reysol, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kyoto Sanga

All competitions
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 3-0 Kyoto Sanga
Saturday, June 22 at 11am in J1 League

Kashiwa Reysol

All competitions
Last Game: Reysol 0-1 Hiroshima
Saturday, June 22 at 11am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kyoto Sanga win with a probability of 38.85%. A win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 33.63% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kyoto Sanga win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Kashiwa Reysol win was 0-1 (10.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Kyoto SangaDrawKashiwa Reysol
38.85% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)27.51% (0.015000000000001 0.02)33.63% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Both teams to score 49.06% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.41% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)56.59% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.44% (-0.037000000000003 -0.04)77.57% (0.036999999999992 0.04)
Kyoto Sanga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.67% (-0.072999999999993 -0.07)28.33% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.94% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)64.06% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Kashiwa Reysol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.44% (0.027000000000001 0.03)31.56% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.05% (0.030999999999999 0.03)67.96% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Kyoto Sanga 38.85%
    Kashiwa Reysol 33.63%
    Draw 27.51%
Kyoto SangaDrawKashiwa Reysol
1-0 @ 11.27%
2-1 @ 8.2% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.11% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.45% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.99% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.99% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.09% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 0.94% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 38.85%
1-1 @ 13%
0-0 @ 8.94% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.73% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 27.51%
0-1 @ 10.31% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 7.5% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.95% (0.019 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.88% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 2.29% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.82% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 33.63%

How you voted: Kyoto Sanga vs Reysol

Kyoto Sanga
25.0%
Draw
37.5%
Kashiwa Reysol
37.5%
8
Head to Head
Feb 25, 2024 5am
Gameweek 1
Reysol
1-1
Kyoto Sanga
Savio (77')
Shirai (23'), Kinoshita (69'), Takamine (85')
Anzai (90+4')
Aug 6, 2023 11am
Gameweek 22
Kyoto Sanga
0-1
Reysol

Hirato (39'), Misao (89')
Hosoya (29')
Tsuchiya (60'), Savio (90+7')
Apr 29, 2023 7am
Gameweek 10
Reysol
1-1
Kyoto Sanga
Savio (47')
Toyokawa (8')
Aug 6, 2022 10.30am
Gameweek 24
Kyoto Sanga
1-2
Reysol
Takeda (7')
Honda (25' og.), Muto (90+8')
Kamijima (49'), Shiihashi (67')
Apr 17, 2022 11am
Gameweek 9
Reysol
0-2
Kyoto Sanga

Nakamura (43')
Ogiwara (13'), Utaka (48')
Kawasaki (23'), Ogiwara (87')