Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kyoto Sanga win with a probability of 38.85%. A win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 33.63% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kyoto Sanga win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Kashiwa Reysol win was 0-1 (10.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.