J1 League Gameweek 25
Aug 7, 2024 11.00am
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT Denka Big Swan Stadium
  • Eiji Miyamoto 14' goal
  • Yuji Ono 20' yellowcard
  • Hiroki Akiyama 27' goal
  • yellowcard Hiroki Yamada 25'
  • yellowcard Kaito Suzuki 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Ryo Germain 57'
  • goal Ryo Germain 66'
  • redcard Matheus Peixoto 88'
  • goal Ryo Germain 90'+1'

Albirex Niigata vs Jubilo Iwata - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Albirex Niigata

All competitions
Last game
Jul 20, 2024 11.00am
Cerezo 1 - 2 Albirex Niigata
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Kaito Taniguchi

Jubilo Iwata

All competitions
Last game
Jul 20, 2024 11.00am
Jubilo Iwata 1 - 2 Kyoto Sanga
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Ryo Germain

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albirex Niigata win with a probability of 40.93%. A win for Jubilo Iwata had a probability of 34.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Albirex Niigata win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.05%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Jubilo Iwata win was 1-2 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result

Albirex Niigata 40.93% (-0.02)
Draw 24.43% (+0.01)
Jubilo Iwata 34.64% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.5% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 56.73% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 43.27% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 34.33% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 65.66% (+0.03)
Over 4.5 17.77% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 82.23% (+0.02)

Albirex Niigata Goals

Over 0.5 78.77% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 21.22% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 45.88% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 54.12% (+0.03)

Jubilo Iwata Goals

Over 0.5 75.53% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 24.46% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 41.09% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 58.91% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Albirex Niigata 40.93%
Draw 24.43%
Jubilo Iwata 34.64%
Albirex Niigata
2-1 @ 8.78% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 8.05% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.24%
3-1 @ 4.54% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.22% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.19% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.76% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.25% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.24% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 40.93%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.33% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.18% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.19% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.5% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.43%
Jubilo Iwata
1-2 @ 7.98% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 7.31% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.15% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.74% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.9% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.42% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.32%
2-4 @ 1.02% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 34.64%

Head to Head

J1 League Gameweek 6
Apr 3, 2024 11.00am
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Yamaha Stadium
  • Ryo Germain 67' yellowcard
  • Ryo Germain 75' goal
  • Ryo Germain 79' goal
  • yellowcard Yota Komi 7'
  • yellowcard Yuji Hoshi 44'