Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albirex Niigata win with a probability of 40.93%. A win for Jubilo Iwata had a probability of 34.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Albirex Niigata win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.05%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Jubilo Iwata win was 1-2 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Albirex Niigata	Draw	Jubilo Iwata
40.93% ( -0.02)	24.43% ( 0)	34.64% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 59.5% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.73% (

-0.03)

43.27% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.33% (

-0.03)

65.66% (

0.03)

Albirex Niigata Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.77% (

-0.02)

21.22% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.88% (

-0.03)

54.12% (

0.03)

Jubilo Iwata Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.53% (

-0.01)

24.46% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.09% (

-0.01)

58.91% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Albirex Niigata 40.93%

Jubilo Iwata 34.64%

Draw 24.43%

Albirex Niigata	Draw	Jubilo Iwata
2-1 @ 8.78% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.05% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.24% 3-1 @ 4.54% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.22% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.19% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.76% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.25% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.24% ( -0) Other @ 2.66% Total : 40.93%	1-1 @ 11.33% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.18% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.19% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.5% ( -0) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.43%	1-2 @ 7.98% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.31% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.15% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.74% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.9% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.42% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.32% 2-4 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 2.81% Total : 34.64%