J1 League | Gameweek 24

Jul 20, 2024 at 11am UK

Yamaha Stadium

Jubilo Iwata
1 - 2
Kyoto Sanga

Germain (40')
Matsubara (57')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Suzuki (79' og.), Elias (82')
Kaneko (86'), Elias (90+1')

Coverage of the J1 League clash between Jubilo Iwata and Kyoto Sanga.

Form, Standings, Stats

Jubilo Iwata

All competitions

Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 5-0 Jubilo Iwata
Sunday, July 14 at 11am in J1 League

Goals
for

Kyoto Sanga

All competitions

Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 0-0 Urawa
Sunday, July 14 at 10.30am in J1 League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jubilo Iwata win with a probability of 44.77%. A win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 29.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jubilo Iwata win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Kyoto Sanga win was 0-1 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
Jubilo Iwata	Draw	Kyoto Sanga
44.77% ( 0.64)	26.12% ( 0.06)	29.11% ( -0.7)

Both teams to score 51.58% (

-0.56)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.43% (

-0.55)

52.56% (

0.55)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.78% (

-0.47)

74.22% (

0.48)

Jubilo Iwata Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.61% (

0.07)

23.39% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.62% (

0.1)

57.38% (

-0.1)

Kyoto Sanga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.33% (

-0.8)

32.67% (

0.8)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.78% (

-0.9)

69.22% (

0.91)

Score Analysis

Jubilo Iwata 44.76%

Kyoto Sanga 29.11%

Draw 26.12%

Jubilo Iwata	Draw	Kyoto Sanga
1-0 @ 11.1% ( 0.26) 2-1 @ 9.02% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 8.07% ( 0.21) 3-1 @ 4.37% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.91% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.59% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.42% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.85% Total : 44.76%	1-1 @ 12.42% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.64% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 5.05% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.12%	0-1 @ 8.55% 1-2 @ 6.95% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 4.78% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.58% Total : 29.11%