Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Urawa Red Diamonds win with a probability of 51.56%. A win for Jubilo Iwata had a probability of 24.59% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Urawa Red Diamonds win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest Jubilo Iwata win was 0-1 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Urawa Red Diamonds would win this match.

Result
Urawa Red Diamonds	Draw	Jubilo Iwata
51.56% ( -0.21)	23.85% ( 0.05)	24.59% ( 0.15)

Both teams to score 55.07% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.77% (

-0.08)

46.23% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.48% (

-0.07)

68.52% (

0.08)

Urawa Red Diamonds Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.06% (

-0.11)

17.94% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.24% (

-0.19)

48.76% (

0.19)

Jubilo Iwata Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.11% (

0.08)

32.89% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.53% (

0.09)

69.47% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Urawa Red Diamonds 51.55%

Jubilo Iwata 24.59%

Draw 23.85%

Urawa Red Diamonds	Draw	Jubilo Iwata
1-0 @ 10.13% 2-1 @ 9.69% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.71% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 5.55% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.99% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.38% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.14% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.56% Total : 51.55%	1-1 @ 11.27% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.9% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.39% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.85%	0-1 @ 6.56% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.27% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 3.65% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.45% Total : 24.59%