Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shonan Bellmare win with a probability of 39.79%. A win for Jubilo Iwata had a probability of 33.12% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shonan Bellmare win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Jubilo Iwata win was 0-1 (9.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shonan Bellmare would win this match.