Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shonan Bellmare win with a probability of 39.79%. A win for Jubilo Iwata had a probability of 33.12% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shonan Bellmare win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Jubilo Iwata win was 0-1 (9.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shonan Bellmare would win this match.

Result
Shonan Bellmare	Draw	Jubilo Iwata
39.79% ( -0.24)	27.09% ( 0.12)	33.12% ( 0.12)

Both teams to score 50.23% (

-0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.95% (

-0.43)

55.05% (

0.43)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.68% (

-0.36)

76.31% (

0.36)

Shonan Bellmare Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.93% (

-0.33)

27.07% (

0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.55% (

-0.44)

62.45% (

0.44)

Jubilo Iwata Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.88% (

-0.14)

31.12% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.55% (

-0.16)

67.45% (

0.16)

Score Analysis

Shonan Bellmare 39.78%

Jubilo Iwata 33.12%

Draw 27.09%

Shonan Bellmare	Draw	Jubilo Iwata
1-0 @ 11% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 8.4% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 7.19% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.66% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 3.13% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.05% Total : 39.78%	1-1 @ 12.85% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 8.43% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.09%	0-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 7.5% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.74% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.92% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.99% Total : 33.12%