Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Urawa Red Diamonds win with a probability of 53.6%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 22.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Urawa Red Diamonds win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 2-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for a Shonan Bellmare win it was 0-1 (6.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.