J1 League | Gameweek 22
Jul 6, 2024 at 10.30am UK
Yamaha Stadium

Jubilo Iwata
2 - 2
Kawasaki

Germain (20'), Yamada (90+2')
Suzuki (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Tono (51'), Tachibanada (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's J1 League clash between Jubilo Iwata and Kawasaki Frontale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Jubilo Iwata

All competitions
Last Game: Urawa 3-0 Jubilo Iwata
Sunday, June 30 at 10.30am in J1 League

Kawasaki Frontale

All competitions
Last Game: Kawasaki 1-1 Hiroshima
Saturday, June 29 at 11am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 39.88%. A win for Jubilo Iwata had a probability of 35.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.64%) and 0-2 (6.35%). The likeliest Jubilo Iwata win was 2-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Jubilo IwataDrawKawasaki Frontale
35.06% (-0.111 -0.11)25.06% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)39.88% (0.151 0.15)
Both teams to score 57.35% (0.119 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.89% (0.159 0.16)46.11% (-0.15600000000001 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.59% (0.151 0.15)68.41% (-0.14700000000001 -0.15)
Jubilo Iwata Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.44% (0.012999999999991 0.01)25.56% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.57% (0.015000000000001 0.02)60.42% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Kawasaki Frontale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.03% (0.146 0.15)22.97% (-0.144 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.24% (0.214 0.21)56.76% (-0.211 -0.21)
Score Analysis
    Jubilo Iwata 35.06%
    Kawasaki Frontale 39.88%
    Draw 25.06%
Jubilo IwataDrawKawasaki Frontale
2-1 @ 8.04% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.01% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-0 @ 5.46% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.65% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.69% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.48% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.25% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 0.92% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 35.06%
1-1 @ 11.78% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.91% (0.015 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.87% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.32% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.06%
1-2 @ 8.67% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
0-1 @ 8.64% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.35% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.25% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
0-3 @ 3.11% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.9% (0.019 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.56% (0.017 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.15% (0.011 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.07% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 39.88%

How you voted: Jubilo Iwata vs Kawasaki

Jubilo Iwata
66.7%
Draw
26.7%
Kawasaki Frontale
6.7%
15
Head to Head
Mar 1, 2024 10am
Gameweek 2
Kawasaki
4-5
Jubilo Iwata
Erison (36', 55'), Marcinho (59'), Yamada (85' pen.)
Tachibanada (36'), Jung (79'), Segawa (90+6')
Uemura (6'), Germain (18', 29', 80', 90+7')
Graca (48'), Fujikawa (90+12')
Jun 25, 2022 11am
Gameweek 18
Kawasaki
1-1
Jubilo Iwata
Yamane (33')
Kurumaya (66'), Ienaga (90+4')
Ito (85')
Kanuma (25'), Graca (60')
Apr 6, 2022 11am
Gameweek 7
Jubilo Iwata
1-1
Kawasaki
Omori (78')
Ito (37'), Germain (76')
Chinen (90+4')