J1 League | Gameweek 30

Sep 14, 2024 at 11am UK

Denka Big Swan Stadium

Albirex Niigata
3 - 1
Shonan Bellmare

Ono (8'), Nagakura (32'), Taniguchi (75')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Abe (90+3')
Tanaka (26'), Ohno (54')
Lukian (80')

Coverage of the J1 League clash between Albirex Niigata and Shonan Bellmare.

Form, Standings, Stats

Albirex Niigata

All competitions

Last Game: Albirex Niigata 0-0 Machida Zelvia
Sunday, August 25 at 11am in J1 League

Goals
for

Shonan Bellmare

All competitions

Last Game: Sagan Tosu 1-2 Shonan Bellmare
Saturday, August 31 at 11am in J1 League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albirex Niigata win with a probability of 43.32%. A win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 32.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Albirex Niigata win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.26%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Shonan Bellmare win was 1-2 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Albirex Niigata would win this match.

Result
Albirex Niigata	Draw	Shonan Bellmare
43.32% ( -0.1)	24.24% ( 0.15)	32.43% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 59.46% (

-0.56)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.98% (

-0.72)

43.02% (

0.72)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.57% (

-0.72)

65.42% (

0.72)

Albirex Niigata Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.97% (

-0.34)

20.03% (

0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.76% (

-0.55)

52.23% (

0.55)

Shonan Bellmare Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.35% (

-0.38)

25.64% (

0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.46% (

-0.52)

60.54% (

0.52)

Score Analysis

Albirex Niigata 43.32%

Shonan Bellmare 32.43%

Draw 24.23%

Albirex Niigata	Draw	Shonan Bellmare
2-1 @ 9.04% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.26% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 6.64% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 4.84% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 3.56% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.3% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.95% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.99% Total : 43.32%	1-1 @ 11.23% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 5.14% ( 0.16) 3-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.23%	1-2 @ 7.65% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.99% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 4.76% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 3.47% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 2.16% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.49% Total : 32.43%