Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 56.78%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Albirex Niigata had a probability of 20.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.77%) and 2-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.43%), while for an Albirex Niigata win it was 1-2 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kawasaki Frontale would win this match.