Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vissel Kobe win with a probability of 49.55%. A win for Albirex Niigata had a probability of 26.39% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vissel Kobe win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.57%) and 0-2 (8.19%). The likeliest Albirex Niigata win was 1-0 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vissel Kobe would win this match.