J1 League | Gameweek 31

Sep 22, 2024 at 10am UK

Denka Big Swan Stadium

Albirex Niigata
2 - 3
Vissel Kobe

Nagakura (31'), Ono (36')
Miyamoto (13')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Sakai (15'), Muto (73'), Kikuchi (90+6')
Ohgihara (59')

Coverage of the J1 League clash between Albirex Niigata and Vissel Kobe.

Form, Standings, Stats

Albirex Niigata

All competitions

Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 3-0 Albirex Niigata
Wednesday, September 18 at 11am in J1 League

Goals
for

Vissel Kobe

All competitions

Last Game: Vissel Kobe 2-1 Cerezo
Friday, September 13 at 11am in J1 League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vissel Kobe win with a probability of 49.55%. A win for Albirex Niigata had a probability of 26.39% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vissel Kobe win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.57%) and 0-2 (8.19%). The likeliest Albirex Niigata win was 1-0 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vissel Kobe would win this match.

Result
Albirex Niigata	Draw	Vissel Kobe
26.39% ( -0.33)	24.05% ( -0.08)	49.55% ( 0.4)

Both teams to score 56.2% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.42% (

0.08)

45.57% (

-0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.1% (

0.07)

67.9% (

-0.08)

Albirex Niigata Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.92% (

-0.22)

31.08% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.6% (

-0.25)

67.4% (

0.24)

Vissel Kobe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.54% (

0.19)

18.46% (

-0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.35% (

0.32)

49.65% (

-0.33)

Score Analysis

Albirex Niigata 26.39%

Vissel Kobe 49.55%

Draw 24.04%

Albirex Niigata	Draw	Vissel Kobe
1-0 @ 6.71% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 6.62% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 3.92% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 2.58% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.53% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.87% Total : 26.39%	1-1 @ 11.32% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.74% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.59% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.04%	0-1 @ 9.69% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 9.57% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 8.19% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 5.39% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 4.61% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 3.15% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.28% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 1.95% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.33% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.4% Total : 49.55%