Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vissel Kobe win with a probability of 50.88%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 22.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vissel Kobe win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.36%) and 1-2 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.37%), while for an Avispa Fukuoka win it was 1-0 (8.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vissel Kobe would win this match.