J1 League | Gameweek 24

Jul 20, 2024 at 11am UK

NOEVIR Stadium Kobe

Vissel Kobe
3 - 3
Nagoya Grampus

Sasaki (33'), Yamauchi (90'), Kikuchi (90+3')
Yamauchi (90+5'), Maekawa (90+7')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Patric (22'), Inagaki (54', 90+10' pen.)
Chang-Rae (90+2')

Coverage of the J1 League clash between Vissel Kobe and Nagoya Grampus.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vissel Kobe

All competitions

Last Game: Consadole 1-1 Vissel Kobe
Saturday, July 13 at 6am in J1 League

Goals
for

Nagoya Grampus

All competitions

Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 2-1 Reysol
Sunday, July 14 at 10am in J1 League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vissel Kobe win with a probability of 46.78%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 26.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vissel Kobe win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.19%) and 2-1 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.72%), while for a Nagoya Grampus win it was 0-1 (9.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result
Vissel Kobe	Draw	Nagoya Grampus
46.78% ( -0.85)	27.18% ( 0.33)	26.03% ( 0.52)

Both teams to score 46.42% (

-0.5)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.79% (

-0.85)

58.21% (

0.85)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.15% (

-0.67)

78.85% (

0.67)

Vissel Kobe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.1% (

-0.78)

24.9% (

0.78)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.48% (

-1.1)

59.52% (

1.1)

Nagoya Grampus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.81% (

-0.02)

38.19% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.05% (

-0.02)

74.95% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Vissel Kobe 46.78%

Nagoya Grampus 26.03%

Draw 27.18%

Vissel Kobe	Draw	Nagoya Grampus
1-0 @ 13.22% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 9.19% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 8.85% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 4.26% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 4.1% ( -0.15) 3-2 @ 1.97% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 1.48% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 1.43% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.29% Total : 46.78%	1-1 @ 12.72% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 9.51% ( 0.3) 2-2 @ 4.26% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.69% Total : 27.18%	0-1 @ 9.15% ( 0.29) 1-2 @ 6.13% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 4.41% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.6% Total : 26.03%