J1 League | Gameweek 23
Jul 14, 2024 at 10am UK
Toyota Stadium

Nagoya Grampus
2 - 1
Reysol

Soma (55'), Yamagishi (57')
Soma (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Savio (7')
Shirai (68'), Shirai (71'), Sekine (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's J1 League clash between Nagoya Grampus and Kashiwa Reysol, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nagoya Grampus

All competitions
Last Game: Machida Zelvia 1-0 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, July 6 at 10am in J1 League

Kashiwa Reysol

All competitions
Last Game: Reysol 3-2 FC Tokyo
Saturday, July 6 at 11.30am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashiwa Reysol win with a probability of 41.47%. A win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 30.63% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kashiwa Reysol win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 (10.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
Nagoya GrampusDrawKashiwa Reysol
30.63% (-0.674 -0.67)27.9% (0.153 0.15)41.47% (0.523 0.52)
Both teams to score 47.05% (-0.68 -0.68)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.3% (-0.739 -0.74)58.7% (0.741 0.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.77% (-0.577 -0.58)79.23% (0.58 0.58)
Nagoya Grampus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.23% (-0.883 -0.88)34.77% (0.886 0.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.5% (-0.945 -0.95)71.5% (0.94800000000001 0.95)
Kashiwa Reysol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.13% (-0.063999999999993 -0.06)27.86% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.53% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)63.47% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Nagoya Grampus 30.62%
    Kashiwa Reysol 41.47%
    Draw 27.89%
Nagoya GrampusDrawKashiwa Reysol
1-0 @ 10.23% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 6.91% (-0.154 -0.15)
2-0 @ 5.41% (-0.11 -0.11)
3-1 @ 2.43% (-0.115 -0.12)
3-0 @ 1.9% (-0.086 -0.09)
3-2 @ 1.55% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 30.62%
1-1 @ 13.07% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 9.69% (0.269 0.27)
2-2 @ 4.41% (-0.106 -0.11)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 27.89%
0-1 @ 12.38% (0.33 0.33)
1-2 @ 8.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 7.91% (0.192 0.19)
1-3 @ 3.56% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 3.37% (0.075 0.08)
2-3 @ 1.88% (-0.049 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.14% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 1.08% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 41.47%

How you voted: Nagoya Grampus vs Reysol

Nagoya Grampus
45.5%
Draw
36.4%
Kashiwa Reysol
18.2%
11
Head to Head
Mar 16, 2024 6am
Gameweek 4
Reysol
0-2
Nagoya Grampus

Shimamura (83')
Nagai (18'), Chang-Rae (62')
Ha (29'), Chang-Rae (29'), Kubo (37'), Mikuni (45+2')
Dec 3, 2023 5.45am
Gameweek 34
Nagoya Grampus
1-1
Reysol
Junker (90+5' pen.)
Savio (71')
Savio (78')
Diego (90+3')
Mar 12, 2023 6am
Gameweek 4
Reysol
0-3
Nagoya Grampus
Junker (41'), Nagai (52'), Tatsuta (70' og.)
Jul 6, 2022 11am
Gameweek 20
Reysol
0-1
Nagoya Grampus

Ominami (57')
Mateus (4')
Fujii (67'), Ishida (84'), Soma (90+5')
Mar 20, 2022 5am
Gameweek 5
Nagoya Grampus
1-1
Reysol
Mateus (18')
Tiago (27'), Morishita (55')
Hosoya (6')
Moreira (31'), Savio (79'), Toshima (90+4')