J1 League Gameweek 30
Sep 13, 2024 11.00am
3
2
HT : 1 0
FT Kawasaki Todoroki Stadium
  • Kento Tachibanada 11' goal
  • Akihiro Ienaga 61' goal
  • Shin Yamada 90'+10' goal
  • goal Tojiro Kubo 50'
  • goal Hiroshi Kiyotake 90'
  • yellowcard Tae-Hyeon Kim 90'+2'

Kawasaki Frontale vs Sagan Tosu - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Kawasaki Frontale

All competitions
Last game
Sep 1, 2024 6.00am
Consadole 2 - 0 Kawasaki
Goals scored
65
Top scorer
Shin Yamada

Sagan Tosu

All competitions
Last game
Aug 31, 2024 11.00am
Sagan Tosu 1 - 2 Shonan Bellmare
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Marcelo Ryan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 64.18%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 16.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.89%) and 1-0 (7.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.5%), while for a Sagan Tosu win it was 1-2 (4.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kawasaki Frontale would win this match.

Result

Kawasaki Frontale 64.18% (+0.21)
Draw 18.95% (-0.13)
Sagan Tosu 16.87% (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.79% (+0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5 65.72% (+0.49)
Under 2.5 34.28% (-0.49)
Over 3.5 43.82% (+0.55)
Under 3.5 56.18% (-0.55)
Over 4.5 25.29% (+0.47)
Under 4.5 74.71% (-0.46)

Kawasaki Frontale Goals

Over 0.5 89.87% (+0.19)
Under 0.5 10.13% (-0.19)
Over 1.5 66.67% (+0.43)
Under 1.5 33.33% (-0.43)

Sagan Tosu Goals

Over 0.5 66.53% (+0.23)
Under 0.5 33.47% (-0.22)
Over 1.5 29.9% (+0.25)
Under 1.5 70.1% (-0.25)

Score analysis

Kawasaki Frontale 64.18%
Draw 18.95%
Sagan Tosu 16.87%
Kawasaki Frontale
2-1 @ 9.73% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 8.89% (-0.08)
1-0 @ 7.76% (-0.14)
3-1 @ 7.42% (+0.04)
3-0 @ 6.78% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 4.25% (+0.06)
3-2 @ 4.06% (+0.05)
4-0 @ 3.88% (+0.03)
4-2 @ 2.33% (+0.05)
5-1 @ 1.95% (+0.05)
5-0 @ 1.78% (+0.03)
5-2 @ 1.07% (+0.03)
Other @ 4.28%
Total : 64.18%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.5% (-0.10)
2-2 @ 5.32% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 3.39% (-0.09)
3-3 @ 1.48% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 18.95%
Sagan Tosu
1-2 @ 4.65% (-0.03)
0-1 @ 3.71% (-0.08)
0-2 @ 2.03% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.94% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.7% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 16.87%

Head to Head

J1 League Gameweek 14
May 15, 2024 11.00am
5
2
HT : 3 2
FT Ekimae Real Estate Stadium (Tosu)
  • Ayumu Yokoyama 18' yellowcard
  • Ayumu Yokoyama 26' goal
  • Ayumu Yokoyama 37' goal
  • Marcelo Ryan 44' goal
  • Wataru Harada 47' goal
  • Atsushi Kawata 75' goal
  • goal Kota Takai 13'
  • goal Akihiro Ienaga 45'+3'
J1 League Gameweek 34
Dec 3, 2023 5.00am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Ekimae Real Estate Stadium (Tosu)
  • Wataru Harada 60' yellowcard
  • goal Shota Hino 87' (OG)
J1 League Gameweek 12
May 7, 2023 7.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Kawasaki Todoroki Stadium
  • Yasuto Wakizaka 52' goal
J1 League Gameweek 20
Aug 31, 2022 11.00am
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Kei Chinen 26' goal
  • Joao Schmidt 47' goal
  • Marcinho 56' goal
  • Ryota Oshima 87' goal
J1 League Gameweek 14
May 21, 2022 9.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Kei Koizumi 19' yellowcard
  • Masaya Tashiro 90' yellowcard
  • redcard Shogo Taniguchi 82'
J1 League Gameweek 34
Nov 7, 2021 5.00am
3
1
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Yuto Iwasaki 3' goal
  • Noriyoshi Sakai 20' goal
  • Tomoya Koyamatsu 32' goal
  • Yoshihiro Nakano 83' yellowcard
  • Ryunosuke Sagara 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Leandro Damiao 90'+1'