J1 League | Gameweek 27

Aug 16, 2024 at 11.30am UK

Sapporo Atsubetsu Park Stadium

Consadole
5 - 3
Sagan Tosu

Sarachart (10'), Komai (11', 16'), Harada (70' og.), Bakayoko (89' pen.)
Aoki (83')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Fukuta (57'), Kubo (60'), Sakaiya (77')

Coverage of the J1 League clash between Consadole Sapporo and Sagan Tosu.

Form, Standings, Stats

Consadole Sapporo

All competitions

Last Game: Consadole 2-2 Avispa Fukuoka
Saturday, August 10 at 6am in J1 League

Goals
for

Sagan Tosu

All competitions

Last Game: Sagan Tosu 1-1 Urawa
Sunday, August 11 at 11am in J1 League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Consadole Sapporo win with a probability of 47.11%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 28.63% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Consadole Sapporo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 1-2 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Consadole Sapporo would win this match.

Result
Consadole Sapporo	Draw	Sagan Tosu
47.11% ( -0.03)	24.26% ( 0.01)	28.63% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 57.29% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.05% (

-0.02)

44.95% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.7% (

-0.02)

67.3% (

0.02)

Consadole Sapporo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.8% (

-0.02)

19.2% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.12% (

-0.03)

50.88% (

0.03)

Sagan Tosu Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.9% (

29.1% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.98% (

65.02% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Consadole Sapporo 47.12%

Sagan Tosu 28.63%

Draw 24.26%

Consadole Sapporo	Draw	Sagan Tosu
2-1 @ 9.39% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.22% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.61% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.17% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.19% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.19% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.13% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.73% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.32% ( -0) Other @ 3.18% Total : 47.12%	1-1 @ 11.38% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.8% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.59% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.26%	1-2 @ 7.03% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.9% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.26% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.89% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.39% 0-3 @ 1.75% ( 0) Other @ 3.42% Total : 28.63%