Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 47.92%. A win for Consadole Sapporo had a probability of 30.23% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.03%) and 2-0 (5.9%). The likeliest Consadole Sapporo win was 1-2 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Yokohama F Marinos would win this match.