Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 47.92%. A win for Consadole Sapporo had a probability of 30.23% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.03%) and 2-0 (5.9%). The likeliest Consadole Sapporo win was 1-2 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Yokohama F Marinos would win this match.

Result
Yokohama F Marinos	Draw	Consadole Sapporo
47.92% ( -3.33)	21.85% ( 0.61)	30.23% ( 2.73)

Both teams to score 67.16% (

-0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.55% (

-1.09)

32.45% (

1.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.92% (

-1.28)

54.09% (

1.29)

Yokohama F Marinos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.87% (

-1.44)

14.13% (

1.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.22% (

-2.9)

41.78% (

2.91)

Consadole Sapporo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.21% (

1.08)

21.79% (

-1.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.01% (

1.62)

54.99% (

-1.62)

Score Analysis

Yokohama F Marinos 47.92%

Consadole Sapporo 30.23%

Draw 21.85%

Yokohama F Marinos	Draw	Consadole Sapporo
2-1 @ 8.98% ( -0.14) 1-0 @ 6.03% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 5.9% ( -0.29) 3-1 @ 5.86% ( -0.42) 3-2 @ 4.46% ( -0.17) 3-0 @ 3.85% ( -0.41) 4-1 @ 2.87% ( -0.38) 4-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.21) 4-0 @ 1.88% ( -0.32) 5-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.22) 4-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.69% Total : 47.92%	1-1 @ 9.18% ( 0.34) 2-2 @ 6.84% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 3.08% ( 0.18) 3-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.48% Total : 21.85%	1-2 @ 7% ( 0.48) 0-1 @ 4.69% ( 0.41) 0-2 @ 3.58% ( 0.42) 1-3 @ 3.55% ( 0.35) 2-3 @ 3.48% ( 0.17) 0-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.26) 1-4 @ 1.35% ( 0.17) 2-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.1) Other @ 3.45% Total : 30.23%