Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 56.8%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 22.49% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.51%) and 1-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 1-2 (5.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
Yokohama F Marinos	Draw	Sagan Tosu
56.8% ( 0.23)	20.7% ( 0.1)	22.49% ( -0.34)

Both teams to score 63.53% (

-0.87)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.09% (

-0.92)

33.9% (

0.91)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.24% (

-1.05)

55.75% (

1.04)

Yokohama F Marinos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.05% (

-0.24)

11.94% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.68% (

-0.5)

37.31% (

0.49)

Sagan Tosu Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.14% (

-0.79)

27.85% (

0.79)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.54% (

-1.02)

63.46% (

1.01)

Score Analysis

Yokohama F Marinos 56.81%

Sagan Tosu 22.49%

Draw 20.7%

Yokohama F Marinos	Draw	Sagan Tosu
2-1 @ 9.6% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 7.51% ( 0.22) 1-0 @ 7.07% ( 0.27) 3-1 @ 6.8% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.32% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 3.61% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.83% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.08) 5-1 @ 1.54% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.2% ( 0) 4-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.05) 5-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.7% Total : 56.81%	1-1 @ 9.03% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 6.14% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 3.33% ( 0.16) 3-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.35% Total : 20.7%	1-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 4.25% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.52% Total : 22.49%