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J1 League | Gameweek 25
Aug 7, 2024 at 11am UK
Kashima Soccer Stadium

Kashima Antlers
3 - 0
Sagan Tosu

Nono (18'), Nakama (53'), Anzai (79')
Morooka (47')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Nakahara (38'), Fukuta (42'), Kawahara (49'), Togashi (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's J1 League clash between Kashima Antlers and Sagan Tosu, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kashima Antlers

All competitions
J1 League
Last Game: Kashima Antlers 1-5 Brighton
Wednesday, July 24 at 11am in Club Friendlies 3

Sagan Tosu

All competitions
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 1-4 Hiroshima
Sunday, July 21 at 11am in J1 League

We said: Kashima Antlers 3-1 Sagan Tosu

 While Sagan Tosu have experienced a slight upturn in their away record recently, it is difficult to back against the hosts, who have the best home record in the division this season and have not lost at this venue in almost a year. We feel this should be a fairly straightforward three points for the Antlers. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 49.47%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 25.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 0-1 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Kashima Antlers would win this match.

Result
Kashima AntlersDrawSagan Tosu
49.47% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01) 24.67% (0.00099999999999767 0) 25.86% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 53.7% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.36% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)48.64% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.24% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)70.76% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Kashima Antlers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.31%19.69% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.31%51.68%
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.86% (0.010000000000005 0.01)33.14% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.26% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)69.74% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Kashima Antlers 49.47%
    Sagan Tosu 25.86%
    Draw 24.66%
Kashima AntlersDrawSagan Tosu
1-0 @ 10.6%
2-1 @ 9.52%
2-0 @ 8.62% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 5.16%
3-0 @ 4.67% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.85% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.09%
4-0 @ 1.9% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.16% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 49.47%
1-1 @ 11.71%
0-0 @ 6.53% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 5.26% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.66%
0-1 @ 7.21%
1-2 @ 6.47% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 3.98% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 2.38% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.94% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.47% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 25.86%

How you voted: Kashima Antlers vs Sagan Tosu

Kashima Antlers
81.3%
Draw
6.3%
Sagan Tosu
12.5%
16
Head to Head
Apr 20, 2024 6am
Gameweek 9
Sagan Tosu
4-2
Kashima Antlers
Kawahara (30'), Ryan (45+3', 80'), Fukuta (88')
Ryan (38'), Nagasawa (59')
Nono (11'), Suzuki (86' pen.)
Aug 19, 2023 10am
Gameweek 24
Kashima Antlers
2-1
Sagan Tosu
Higuchi (26'), Chinen (80' pen.)
Sekigawa (9'), Shoji (90+4')
Narahara (66')
Yamazaki (23'), Iwasaki (31'), Togashi (72'), Seok-Ho (78'), Narahara (82')
Aug 19, 2023 10am
Gameweek 24
Kashima Antlers
2-1
Sagan Tosu
Higuchi (26'), Chinen (80' pen.)
Sekigawa (9'), Shoji (90+4')
Narahara (66')
Yamazaki (23'), Iwasaki (31'), Togashi (72'), Seok-Ho (78'), Narahara (82')
May 27, 2023 9am
Gameweek 15
Sagan Tosu
2-2
Kashima Antlers
Moriya (27'), Hayakawa (69' og.)
Tashiro (66')
Nago (33'), Suzuki (90+1')
Sano (77'), Higuchi (80')
Sep 16, 2022 11am
Gameweek 30
Sagan Tosu
1-1
Kashima Antlers
Miyashiro (34')
Arthur (58')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima291510453282555
2Machida Zelvia29167643222155
3Vissel KobeVissel Kobe29157745271852
4Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers28146844341048
5Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka28139632221048
6Yokohama F MarinosYokohama28125114842641
7Tokyo Verdy29101183741-441
8Cerezo OsakaCerezo2891183537-238
9Avispa Fukuoka2991192830-238
10FC Tokyo29108113741-438
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus28114133234-237
12Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa279994237536
13Albirex Niigata2899103739-236
14Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki28810104240234
15Kyoto Sanga2897123345-1234
16Kashiwa ReysolReysol2889113442-833
17Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare2988133943-432
18Jubilo Iwata2877143449-1528
19Consadole SapporoConsadole2967163455-2125
20Sagan Tosu2973193657-2124
> J1 League Full Table


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