Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 49.47%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 25.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 0-1 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Kashima Antlers would win this match.

Result
Kashima Antlers	Draw	Sagan Tosu
49.47% ( -0.01)	24.67% ( 0)	25.86% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 53.7% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.36% (

0.01)

48.64% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.24% (

0.01)

70.76% (

-0)

Kashima Antlers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.31%

19.69% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.31%

51.68%

Sagan Tosu Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.86% (

0.01)

33.14% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.26% (

0.01)

69.74% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Kashima Antlers 49.47%

Sagan Tosu 25.86%

Draw 24.66%

Kashima Antlers	Draw	Sagan Tosu
1-0 @ 10.6% 2-1 @ 9.52% 2-0 @ 8.62% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.16% 3-0 @ 4.67% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.85% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.09% 4-0 @ 1.9% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0) Other @ 2.92% Total : 49.47%	1-1 @ 11.71% 0-0 @ 6.53% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.26% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.66%	0-1 @ 7.21% 1-2 @ 6.47% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.98% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.38% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.94% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.47% ( 0) Other @ 2.43% Total : 25.86%