Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashiwa Reysol win with a probability of 38.02%. A win for Kawasaki Frontale had a probability of 36.44% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashiwa Reysol win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.2%). The likeliest Kawasaki Frontale win was 0-1 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.