Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 41.95%. A win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 32.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (7.07%). The likeliest Shonan Bellmare win was 1-0 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.